We compared the year-over-year percentage change in M2 (measured each month) to the year-over-year percentage change in the NASDAQ Composite (measured each month on a one-month lag) and found a strong correlation as measured by a correlation coefficient of 81.7%.
Our analysis covered the percentage change in M2 from April 2020 (when the money supply was increased to combat COVID), through March 2021. We used March 2021 as an endpoint as by then the NASDAQ Composite had traded off and had begun to plateau. Thus it would seem that some of the “free money” mailed to companies (PPP), individuals (federal unemployment relief), and used to purchase government agency bonds as well as corporate bonds (Fed Reserve actions) either directly made its way into NASDAQ-listed names or helped support NASDAQ valuations indirectly. This speaks to the asset inflation brought on by loose fiscal and monetary policy.