Month: August 2022

Powell Should Raise By 100 Basis Points

Powell Should Raise By 100 Basis Points

The 2-Year Treasury yield sits at approximately 3.42%. Therefore the Fed ought to raise the Fed Funds Rate by 100 bps which would put the Fed Funds Rate lower and upper bound at 3.25-3.50%. The next FOMC meeting will be held September 20th and 21st. Simultaneously, the Fed ought to stick to its plan of … Continue reading Powell Should Raise By 100 Basis Points

Don’t Give Up On Google

Don’t Give Up On Google

Google's AI leadership position will pay dividends for decades to come as natural language AI increasingly becomes part of our day-to-day lives. We are only in the first inning of AI's evolution insofar as how we interact with it on a day-to-day basis. Google's AI ingests more data and learns at a faster rate as … Continue reading Don’t Give Up On Google

A Return To Fundamental Investing

A Return To Fundamental Investing

When may this occur? Don't hold your breath. Investors' obsession with interest rates will likely persist until the market finds a bottom. It is unlikely that equity markets will find a bottom while the Fed is tightening monetary policy. We saw the NASDAQ Composite recover in October 2019 as the Fed became more accommodative. We … Continue reading A Return To Fundamental Investing

Higher Interest Rates & Growth

Higher Interest Rates & Growth

It appears we were correct several weeks ago when we wrote that the Fed will maintain elevated interest rates for longer than markets expect. What are the repercussions for business? A persistently higher interest rate environment will expose hidden zombie companies much like the dry Paluxy River bed in Texas recently exposed dinosaur tracks. However, … Continue reading Higher Interest Rates & Growth