For all of the Fed’s tough talk, the money supply as measured by M2 is growing again.
M2 sat at $15.5 Trillion in Feb 2020 (pre-Covid), peaked at $21.7 Trillion in July 2022 (a 40% increase) and bottomed at $20.7 Trillion in April 2023 during the Fed’s recent QT cycle (trimming $1 Trillion from the Fed’s balance sheet is nothing). M2 currently sits at $20.9, up 1% from April’s bottom. Never mind what the Fed does with its Fed Funds rate, if the Fed continues to expand M2, asset prices will move higher.


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