One of the reasons why I believe this bull market of the past year is fragile outside of the Fed's loose monetary policy is the amount of gimmicks I see at play - crypto currencies (where is the inherent value?), NFTs and SPACs to name several. One gimmick category we have yet to cover in … Continue reading AI-Managed Momentum ETFs
Category: Asset Management
TEK2day's platform has enjoyed more traffic from organic searches (not Ads nor referrals) over the past several years per the below table. Google searches have accounted for 41.5% of all TEK2day traffic year-to-date, down from 45.5% in all of 2020. The table below highlights Bing (tkr: MSFT), Baidu (tkr: BIDU) and duckduckgo (private) as they … Continue reading Is Google’s Search Engine Losing Share to Baidu, Bing & Others?
We compared the year-over-year percentage change in M2 (measured each month) to the year-over-year percentage change in the NASDAQ Composite (measured each month on a one-month lag) and found a strong correlation as measured by a correlation coefficient of 81.7%. Our analysis covered the percentage change in M2 from April 2020 (when the money supply … Continue reading Strong Correlation Between M2 Growth & NASDAQ Composite Growth
Cash flow is king in a world smitten by nosebleed valuations and unsustainable spending The Fed's commentary around potentially increasing the Fed Funds Rate in 2023 vs. 2024 reminds me of the equity analyst who would base his valuation case on a P/E multiple applied to an earnings estimate that was five years in the … Continue reading Cash Flow Is King In A Bubble Economy
One of the great distortions caused by the joint fiscal and monetary policy of 2020 and 2021 is that equities and the lowest-rated non-investment grade credits are two of the all too rare places where investors may earn a return. Savers and Fixed Income investors be damned. Many companies are enjoying their stocks trading at … Continue reading Investors Should Ask More of Their Management Teams
Powell's Fed will continue to run its ultra-loose monetary policy for as long as possible in an effort to inflate the debt away. On Wednesday Powell will say more time is needed for the economy to recover before the Fed considers tightening interest rates. Powell will talk of transitory inflation. Powell will quote May's poor … Continue reading The Fed Won’t Change Its Position On Wednesday
One of the big macro themes that I am long-term bullish on is availability of clean drinking water, especially as the global population continues to grow. Water technology companies that have the ability to treat and deliver water at the local level become increasingly strategic and valuable when one considers global population growth (Africa, India … Continue reading Food for Thought: WaterTech
More bogus CPI numbers reported yesterday (HERE). The CPI itself is a poor price inflation measure given it excludes so many asset classes such as equities, art and crypto. Let's focus on one CPI line item - "food at home" which was up 0.7% over the past 12 months ended May. Sorry, that's a bogus … Continue reading Inflating The Debt Away. Higher Prices Are Here To Stay.
Rewriting Salesforce's (tkr: CRM) technology stack to be "Slack first" would seem to be a risky bet. Run a Google search on "Slack fatigue". Users are tired of constantly being pinged by inbound Slack notifications. Between email, texts, Slack messages and other distractions, no wonder employees find it difficult to do the type of work … Continue reading Salesforce’s Risky Bet
Google is using Machine Learning to design the layout of its next-gen TPU chips. Learn more HERE.Speaking of AI and ML, SS&C Technologies (SSNC) achieved a milestone with its relatively new AI-powered Singularity platform this week. Singularity now boasts more than 50 clients. Read the release HERE. A behavioral change is required to fight cyberattacks. … Continue reading AI, ML, Autos, CEOs and Inflation