Category: Automotive

Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

There is a difference between truly Autonomous Vehicles - those qualified to operate without a driver - and ancillary technologies such as driver assist. Below we provide detail about where various Auto OEMs are in their Autonomous evolution as measured by Autonomous Vehicle permits held in the state of California. (For those who receive our … Continue reading Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

Apple CEO in-waiting Jeff Williams is a Tim Cook clone. We argue that Apple's next Chief Executive ought to be a risk-taking, product-focused CEO that conducts him/herself with a sense of urgency to drive Product & Services growth. Another caretaker CEO would be less than optimal. Companies mentioned: Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Cerner … Continue reading Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

Artificial Intelligence Is Electricity 2.0

Artificial Intelligence Is Electricity 2.0

AWS, Azure and GCP are to thank in large part for the proliferation of applications powered by broadly-defined AI. The big three remote server platforms have made it increasingly easy for companies of all sizes from all industries to build applications that incorporate core AI, machine learning, deep learning and related capabilities. A wide variety … Continue reading Artificial Intelligence Is Electricity 2.0

When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

When in a bubble there's no telling when it may end. Tesla is certainly one of 2020's bubble companies. The more TSLA shares climb the more investors chase, largely motivated by fear of missing out. Is Tesla disrupting the auto industry? Sure. The question is how much do you pay for a disruptor when much … Continue reading When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Snowflake and Tesla are the poster children for irrational valuations and outsized CEO compensation packages. Investors - or more accurately "speculators" - value Analytics company Snowflake (tkr: SNOW) at 183x Revenue. That's right, not 183x depressed earnings. 183x revenue. ($110 billion Market Value on approximately $600 million of Revenue). Speculators value Snowflake 9x more than … Continue reading Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

S&P Global Reported to Acquire IHS Markit

S&P Global Reported to Acquire IHS Markit

A few years ago we recommended that IBM (tkr: IBM) roll-up certain Information Services assets to complement its Infrastructure Services business. In the meantime the Information Services space is rolling up itself with S&P Global (tkr: SPGI) working to acquire IHS Markit (tkr: INFO) as reported by the Wall Street Journal. Tickers mentioned: CCC, DNB, … Continue reading S&P Global Reported to Acquire IHS Markit

There Is Only One Elon Musk

There Is Only One Elon Musk

The "Pretender" auto companies will likely fail because they don't have Elon Musk. While we have been critical of Tesla's corporate governance, there is no denying Elon Musk's persistence. Musk's level of persistence is rare. It is highly unlikely that the Pretenders (NKLA, NIO, RIDE, WKHS) have an Elon Musk among their senior ranks. The … Continue reading There Is Only One Elon Musk

The Electric Vehicle Bubble

The Electric Vehicle Bubble

The Electric Vehicle ("EV") valuation bubble is one of many asset bubbles enabled by dovish fiscal and monetary policy and pursued by speculators (both retail traders AND large asset managers such as Fidelity). The EV bubble seems to be largely driven by the presence of a large total addressable market ("TAM") regardless of whether it … Continue reading The Electric Vehicle Bubble

COVID’s Lasting Impact On Mobility

COVID’s Lasting Impact On Mobility

The punchline is that COVID-19 has had a dramatic and lasting negative impact on public transportation as measured by our analysis of Apple Maps data. Below we provide examples of some of America's largest cities and the trends around driving, walking and public transportation. It's probably not a good idea to go long muni bonds. … Continue reading COVID’s Lasting Impact On Mobility

Fraud – A Sign of The Times

Fraud – A Sign of The Times

Fraud always spikes during frothy markets. If it feels like we are beating you over the head as it relates to Quality CEOs and CEO Integrity it is because we are. High Quality, High Integrity CEOs are the best preventive measure against getting burned by fraudulent companies. 2020 has delivered massive equity market valuation froth … Continue reading Fraud – A Sign of The Times