Category: Financial Services

Questionable PPP Borrowers – A Partial List

Questionable PPP Borrowers – A Partial List

The execution of PPP was poor. A set of well-defined terms provided by Treasury to the SBA and subsequently to the lending financial institutions could have avoided unintended consequences such as various private equity firms, asset managers, law firms and the like "borrowing" money (we use quotation marks as PPP recipients are not required to … Continue reading Questionable PPP Borrowers – A Partial List

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

State-Led Capitalism

State-Led Capitalism

Private markets are no longer primarily determined by the actions of private buyers and sellers. The State now controls private markets as the primary mover. Guessing the timing, scale and duration of massive fiscal and monetary programs has superseded if not largely replaced fundamental analysis. That's not to say that fundamentals do not matter, but … Continue reading State-Led Capitalism

Federal Reserve Discloses Corporate Bond Purchases

Federal Reserve Discloses Corporate Bond Purchases

Here is the full Excel workbook disclosure compiled by the Federal Reserve which lists the various issuers, sectors, cusips, coupons, maturity dates, par values, amortized costs and more for the fixed income securities the Federal Reserve has purchased. Among the securities purchased through June 16th, 48.1% were "AAA, AA and A" rated, 48.3% were "BBB" … Continue reading Federal Reserve Discloses Corporate Bond Purchases

SPAC City

SPAC City

SPACs are popular at the moment accounting for approximately 38% of IPO activity through May. Pershing Square filed for the largest SPAC on record earlier this week with its $3 billion Pershing Square Tontine Holdings filing. SPAC filings of Pershing Square's size suggest more competition for private equity firms may be forthcoming. https://soundcloud.com/ceorater

It May Not Be Too Late To Issue Equity

It May Not Be Too Late To Issue Equity

Corporate debt is at a record $10.5 trillion (chart 1). Yet as a percentage of U.S. corporate equity market values, debt is a small percentage relative to previous years (chart 2). Thank the Fed for boosting equity valuations. Smart, heavily-levered companies used the opportunity presented over the past few weeks to capitalize on inflated equity … Continue reading It May Not Be Too Late To Issue Equity

Fed’s Rosengren Anxious To Show He Can Spend With The Best

Fed’s Rosengren Anxious To Show He Can Spend With The Best

No Federal Reserve official is going to balk at the opportunity to print and spend money, expanding upon the Fed's debt-financed portfolio. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren is chomping at the bit to execute the Fed's Main Street Lending Program. The Credit Markets Are Functioning Properly The Fed's emergency stimulus was supposed … Continue reading Fed’s Rosengren Anxious To Show He Can Spend With The Best

Long-Term Bullish On RIA/Private Client/Trust Investment Services

Long-Term Bullish On RIA/Private Client/Trust Investment Services

I traded text messages with a friend who is contemplating a Chief Investment Officer role with a large RIA firm. Increasingly it seems Portfolio Managers who spent much of their career working for large, long-only investment managers are looking for a change to where they can operate with more flexibility and creativity. The RIA/Private Client/Trust … Continue reading Long-Term Bullish On RIA/Private Client/Trust Investment Services

This Dove’s Not Crying

This Dove’s Not Crying

Dovish Fed Chair Jerome Powell held day 2 of his semi-annual monetary report to Congress today. To summarize, the Fed's got your back if you are a company of most any size, if you participate in the capital markets, if you are a politician looking for a free lunch, if you desire low interest rates … Continue reading This Dove’s Not Crying

The CEORater “Quality” Portfolio

The CEORater “Quality” Portfolio

Our CEORater portfolio of quality Technology names is up significantly year-to-date versus the benchmark. Recall the CEORater mock portfolio is a concentrated, equal-weight portfolio of quality Technology companies that employs a "buy and hold" strategy over the long-term. The CEORater portfolio is up 647 basis points versus the benchmark (S&P NORTH AMERICAN EXPANDED TECHNOLOGY SOFTWARE … Continue reading The CEORater “Quality” Portfolio