If J.P. Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon is leading talks to create a new rescue plan for First Republic Bank (as the WSJ reports), you can be sure the Fed will play a pivotal role. The fear is that absent a bank bail out, Banking weakness could have a negative cascading effect on credit markets and … Continue reading Another Fed Bail Out Is Coming
Private Equity & A Fed Pivot
All banks have got to be tightening access to credit despite the Fed's bail out and despite the SNB's bail out. What group does tightening credit hurt most? Private Equity firms. During the COVID trough we kept hearing how Private Equity firms would not feel the pain as they had access to approximately $1 Trillion … Continue reading Private Equity & A Fed Pivot
The Latest Bank Bail Out: UBS To Acquire CSFB.
UBS agreed to acquire CSFB. Sure, $17 billion in high yield debt was wiped out (perhaps we will see high yield downgrades as a result elsewhere across the landscape of financial issuers?) Despite the writedown of $17 billion in high yield debt, I hesitate to characterize this deal as a "bail in" because the Swiss … Continue reading The Latest Bank Bail Out: UBS To Acquire CSFB.
NLP & Productivity Apps: Microsoft Copilot
Back in March 2019 we wrote about the future use of NLP-powered applications across various industries - in particular Financial Services (our 2019 TEK2day article HERE). Microsoft (MSFT) is bringing natural language capability to its Productivity suite - Microsoft 365. This natural language offering has a name: "Copilot". We include an example of Copilot deployed … Continue reading NLP & Productivity Apps: Microsoft Copilot
Amazon Bank, Apple Bank, Google Bank…
Fed Chairman Powell should lob calls into Andy Jassy (AMZN CEO), Tim Cook (AAPL CEO), Sundar Pichai (GOOGL CEO), Satya Nadella (MSFT CEO) and Doug McMillon (WMT CEO) in an effort to persuade them to consider acquiring a bank. To hell with potential pushback from the FTC. AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT and WMT already dabble … Continue reading Amazon Bank, Apple Bank, Google Bank…
Expect Banks To Borrow Heavily from BTFP
Nobody overdoes it like the Fed, except maybe the fiscal side of Government. Not only does the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) make bank collateral owned as of March 12th whole, the BTFP has a more attractive rate (at today's rate), compared to the Fed's discount window. When a bank borrows from the Fed's discount … Continue reading Expect Banks To Borrow Heavily from BTFP
Powell’s Puzzle. Dimon A Winner.
Fed Chair Powell has the backbone of a jellyfish. Therefore it will be interesting to see what he and his band of banking flunkies do at their FOMC meeting later this month - especially if Financials continue to trade down and should consumer prices remain elevated as we expect (CPI release is Tuesday at 8:30am … Continue reading Powell’s Puzzle. Dimon A Winner.
Fraud Preys On A Lack of Due Diligence
I'm thinking of the venture capital community today as SVB Financial goes down for the count. I feel bad for the bank's employees, but could not care less about the bank's clients - the venture capital community at large. How did the FTX fraud come to be? There were two key components to the FTX … Continue reading Fraud Preys On A Lack of Due Diligence
Tough Month For Banks
Tough month for bank stocks. Not a surprise when 3 month T-Bills yield 5%. How many depository institutions can compete at that rate level? Will the Fed blink? If JPM and GS shares crater - Yes. Otherwise, probably not. Also, as we wrote last night, SIVB may have a new owner come Monday. Source: https://g.co/finance/BANK:INDEXNASDAQ?window=1M … Continue reading Tough Month For Banks
The Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction (QT) UpdatePremium
The Fed slightly reduced its T-Bill holdings this week. That was the extent of its QT effort. Meanwhile, crypto lender Silvergate went down for the count earlier this week. In addition, Silicon Valley Bank (ticker: SIVB) lost 60% of its market value on Thursday and is off another 22% in the aftermarket as Tech VC … Continue reading The Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction (QT) UpdatePremium
You must be logged in to post a comment.