The price increases of goods and services in 2021, 2022 and YTD combined with higher interest rates have ensured that a recession will follow. The economic damage is done. The Fed could take interest rates to zero percent tomorrow and restart QE and it would not stave off this recession. Prices for goods and services … Continue reading This Economic Recession Is Baked In
Category: Information Services
We Expect Less M&A Deal Activity in 2H 2023
Our view is that M&A activity will further slow from here (especially within Tech), given that valuations have rebounded to a large degree year-to-date (Tech in particular), but sales pipelines are not any more robust than they were in Q4'22 nor Q1'23. Further, the macro economic environment is not any stronger today than it has … Continue reading We Expect Less M&A Deal Activity in 2H 2023
Spend, Spend and More Spending
We recently wrote Don’t Worry About The Debt Ceiling as a deal would inevitably get done as both sides want their pork. The spend-heavy Dems and GOP have reached a tentative debt ceiling deal. This means more fiscal spending that's not tied to production/GDP, more fiscal deficits, more debt and more inflation. The inflation tax … Continue reading Spend, Spend and More Spending
All Things AI
We have over 100 AI-related articles. Here are our top AI-focused articles. They cover all elements of AI including many companies that play in different corners of AI. Reach out to us with any questions at email@example.com AI Is Nothing New, Yet We Are Only Scratching The Surface Build Your Own NLP Front-End AI-Powered Convenience … Continue reading All Things AI
AI Is Nothing New, Yet We Are Only Scratching The Surface
AI is nothing new, yet we are only scratching the surface. I believe that every Technology company is incorporating broadly-defined "AI" into their products and services offerings at this juncture. "AI" at its core is based upon statistical models that underpin various advanced automation processes such as machine learning, deep learning, neural networks, natural language … Continue reading AI Is Nothing New, Yet We Are Only Scratching The Surface
Google’s Discount To Microsoft Is Too Steep
I'm fully aware that Ad Revenue (Ad-related Revenue accounted for 78% of Google's total revenue in the March quarter) does not command the same multiple as subscription revenue, but should Microsoft command 2x GOOGL's valuation on an EV/Revenue and EV/ Cash from Operations basis? It would seem that GOOGL's valuation discount to MSFT is punitive. … Continue reading Google’s Discount To Microsoft Is Too Steep
Watch The Zombies Fall
VICE Media: from a $6 billion valuation to filing for bankruptcy. Vice Media (private), is a great example of a Zombie company that can't survive without easy monetary policy. 8-10 years ago Vice was a media darling that could do no wrong. Former Viacom COO Tom Freston viewed Vice and founder Shane Smith as the … Continue reading Watch The Zombies Fall
Microsoft: Too Big To Be Accountable?
It feels as though Microsoft (MSFT) and perhaps the largest Tech companies are too big to be held accountable. While I much prefer MSFT CEO Satya Nadella to former CEO Steve Ballmer, nowhere on MSFT's recent EPS call was there a single question about organic revenue growth. Acquisitions likely accounted for at least one percentage … Continue reading Microsoft: Too Big To Be Accountable?
The Full Promise of Large Language Models
The full promise of Large Language Models (LLMs) won't be delivered until LLMs are capable of understanding nuanced industry specific commercial data. Until such time, LLMs will be productivity enhancers (think Google Assistant), capable of automating routine tasks but incapable of operating complex processes. In order for the above to happen, LLMs will need to … Continue reading The Full Promise of Large Language Models
The Best CEOs
The best CEOs drive the business during economic downturns as well as during good times. Having operating targets large and small across all facets of the operation supported by incentive-based compensation systems greatly increases the probability of driving superior operating performance. The best CEOs define a mother mission. It is ideal if the mission is … Continue reading The Best CEOs
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