Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Category: Leadership
Disney CEO Bob Iger's end game for the house of mouse does not necessarily have to be a sale to Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) or Google (GOOGL), nor does it have to be a merger of equals with someone such as Comcast (CMCSA, the leading candidate to acquire WWE). Batman to the rescue. An acquisition … Continue reading Disney’s Next Deal
Below is Ronald Reagan’s “War On Inflation” speech as conceived by ChatGPT. Ladies and gentlemen, my fellow Americans, It is with great pride and a deep sense of responsibility that I stand before you today to talk about one of the greatest challenges facing our nation: inflation. For too long, the American people have suffered … Continue reading Reagan’s “War On Inflation” Speech
At some point the market has got to reconcile with economic reality. META is a case in point. META's core business is selling Ads. META's price per Ad declined 16% year-over-year for calendar 2022 and declined 22% year-over-year in Q4'22 (unit pricing is likely to get worse in my view in 2023). META's Q4'22 Revenue … Continue reading META and The Market
Crypto currency will become a mainstream accepted form of payment when the Federal Reserve rolls out its central bank digital currency ("CBDC"), or FedCoin. Not before then. The Fed and the SEC would never allow a third-party crypto currency to replace the U.S. Dollar. The only commodity that will ever replace the Dollar (every fiat … Continue reading Here’s When Crypto Currency Will Work
We plan to publish content on companies we believe are fraudulent. We will focus on small-cap companies as it is easier to move the needle there versus mid-cap and large-cap companies. Case in point, when we did work on Cintas (CTAS) in 2017 nobody seemed to care that Cintas regularly overbilled customers to goose reported … Continue reading Corporate Fraud
Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
Companies are a reflection of the personalities of their founders and CEO. Is anyone surprised by the fact that Google terminated employees without notification other than automated user account deactivations? Google is a Quant-centric company founded by two Quants (Larry Page and Sergey Brin) and led by a hand-picked, data-driven, quant-centric CEO (Sundar Pichai). You … Continue reading Google Firings: Why CEO Personalities Matter
The NASDAQ Composite has had a nice little run, up more than 9% year-to-date. However, I would exercise caution ahead of Tech earnings and the Fed's January 31st / February 1st FOMC meeting. We have written on numerous occasions that we expect management teams to take a conservative approach to 2023 Revenue and EPS guidance. … Continue reading Technology Stocks Are Not Yet In The Clear
Small Cap stocks are where outsized opportunities reside. This will be especially true if the vaunted "Fed Put" is broken as we expect it will be. Small Cap land is where you will find quality companies led by quality management teams that are under-followed by the sellside community. First, run a screen for companies with … Continue reading Small Cap Stocks: The Land of Opportunity
I don't buy the idea that anyone other than Comcast (CMCSA) will acquire WWE (WWE). As I previously wrote, Comcast partners with WWE, knows the brand, features WWE content on its Peacock streaming service, did months of heavy lifting to port WWE Network content to it's Peacock platform and has built relationships with WWE executives. … Continue reading WWE Is Comcast’s To Lose
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