History rhymes. Today feels a lot like 2008 when many investors expected an economic rebound in the back half of 2008. When that did not happen, 2009 was to be the rebound year. 2010 then became the year when the economy would normalize after 2009 proved to be worse than 2008. 2010 presented only a … Continue reading It’s 2008 & Life’s The Same Except For My Shoes
Category: Social Media
At some point the market has got to reconcile with economic reality. META is a case in point. META's core business is selling Ads. META's price per Ad declined 16% year-over-year for calendar 2022 and declined 22% year-over-year in Q4'22 (unit pricing is likely to get worse in my view in 2023). META's Q4'22 Revenue … Continue reading META and The Market
Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
Coinbase up 12% because the company is cutting staff? They can't cut quick enough as crypto trading falls off. ChatGPT at 145x revenue? There are plenty of Technology companies that continue to trade at 20x revenue. Despite the pronounced pullback in Tech valuations over the course of 2022, there is further room for valuations to … Continue reading Rates Going Higher. Equities Going Lower.
We recently wrote that there were more Tech-related layoffs in Q4 2022 than during the COVID trough in Q2 2020. Approximately 23% more Tech-related layoffs (73,899) occurred during Q4 2022 versus the COVID trough (60,141), in Q2 2020. There is plenty more room to cut. One thing is for sure - there is more room … Continue reading Was Q4 The Bottom For Tech Layoffs?
Yours truly received some pushback end of last year when I said that higher interest rates and a slowing economy would slow the pace of Tech M&A activity. The number of Tech M&A deals in November was down more than 47% year-over-year. Tech M&A volume has experienced double-digit percentage, year-over-year declines since February of this … Continue reading M&A Activity Continues To Slide
Given the recent Elon Musk drama I point you to our Musk-related articles which include our CEORater CEO Personality Analytics work. In short, Musk is a volatile personality. The Tesla / Twitter drama was all too predictable. CEOs Matter: Elon Musk. GM’s Mary Barra vs. Tesla’s Elon Musk – A CEO Personality Comparison Elon Musk … Continue reading We Predicted Elon Musk’s Behavior
The WSJ reports that YouTube is negotiating with the NFL for exclusive rights to broadcast NFL Sunday Ticket. YouTube/Google and Amazon Prime (Thursday night NFL games), are essentially pursuing a U.S. audience with their respective NFL strategies. The NFL ought to court YouTube in particular given that YouTube - not TikTok, not Instagram nor Snap … Continue reading YouTube & The NFL
Pinterest (PINS) has a problem: Google (GOOGL) is better at idea generation. A search conducted on Google's main page, on Google Images or on YouTube yields better results (my opinion) than does Pinterest. In addition, Google does not require that I set-up an account to perform those basic search functions. Google will always have better … Continue reading Pinterest Has A Problem: Google