Category: Social Media

META & The UFC?

META & The UFC?

Meta Platforms (META) would provide the UFC an on-ramp to the metaverse. The UFC would provide META with valuable global content that could both serve as grist for META's virtual reality mill and provide META with a competitive edge in the content wars versus TikTok, Apple (AAPL), Amazon/Prime Video/Twitch (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Google/YouTube (GOOG), Microsoft/Xbox … Continue reading META & The UFC?

Is META Cheap?

Is META Cheap?

Whether of not META shares are inexpensive depends upon what you believe 2023 and 2024 estimates will look like. We believe the global macro environment will soften for the remainder of this year and next and that META's numbers over the next few quarters will reflect this difficult macro demand environment. META is in the … Continue reading Is META Cheap?

The Metaverse Is The Least of META’s Problems

The Metaverse Is The Least of META’s Problems

Meta Platforms (META), has serious challenges in front of it: Apple's permission-based Ad tracking has hit META and other iOS app developers hard. Apple's iOS change is the primary reason why META's average price per Ad dropped 14% in the June quarter. This reality is not going away and META would be smart to find … Continue reading The Metaverse Is The Least of META’s Problems

VC Culture Ruins Companies

VC Culture Ruins Companies

The grow-at-all-costs venture capital culture of the past 20-plus years ruins companies. How? Far too much focus is placed on revenue growth at the expense of sound operations and profitability. Too many venture-backed companies grow at a pace that far outstrips those companies' ability to scale operations in a manner that supports growth. The result … Continue reading VC Culture Ruins Companies

The Economic Genie Is Out Of The Bottle

The Economic Genie Is Out Of The Bottle

It does not matter what the Fed does with the Fed Funds Rate at this point, the global economy is softening and is likely to get worse. Whether the Fed ultimately takes rates to 3.5% or 4.0% will have little effect on the macroeconomic backdrop (QT is a different story). More job cuts. Large Tech … Continue reading The Economic Genie Is Out Of The Bottle

META’s Remake Is No Sure Bet

META’s Remake Is No Sure Bet

META's remake is no sure bet. The Facebook blue business is yesterday's business. Its best attribute is that it generates significant free cash flow that may be deployed toward remaking the company.Instagram is in the process of being retooled. IG's recommendation algos are being rewritten to more closely match TikTok's - meaning users would see … Continue reading META’s Remake Is No Sure Bet

A Short & Shallow Recession?

A Short & Shallow Recession?

What is the logic to suggest that a "short & shallow" recession is likely? Isn't it more likely things will get worse before they get better? The U.S., Europe and China are experiencing economic slowdowns. The U.S. is in a recession if you believe the Atlanta Fed (GDPNow for Q2 2022 is -1.6%. See GDPNow … Continue reading A Short & Shallow Recession?

We Told You Ad Revs Would Come In Soft

We Told You Ad Revs Would Come In Soft

Ad Revenue models are predicated upon the type of discretionary spend that gets hit during economic soft patches. Twitter missed earlier today (the proposed Musk transaction and macro softness were the primary contributors in our view). SNAP also came in weak and pulled guidance. As we wrote earlier this month, Ad Revs, Consulting Revs and … Continue reading We Told You Ad Revs Would Come In Soft