Category: Strategy

QT Has Only Just Begun

QT Has Only Just Begun

The Fed's balance sheet declined modestly ending the week at $8.91 trillion, down from $8.93 trillion and up from $8.76 trillion at the beginning of the calendar year and up from $4.17 trillion in January 2020 (just before the unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus programs of 2020 and 2021). As we wrote on Tuesday, the … Continue reading QT Has Only Just Begun

What Does Pinterest’s New CEO Mean for Google?

What Does Pinterest’s New CEO Mean for Google?

Pinterest has a new CEO. Google needs to simplify its Payments strategy. The two are related. On June 4th we wrote (article HERE), that Google's Payments strategy is confusing given the company's three-pronged approach to consumer-facing payment apps - Google Pay, G-Pay and Google Wallet. Much of our surprise was due to the fact that … Continue reading What Does Pinterest’s New CEO Mean for Google?

What Does It Mean For Meta To Decentralize AI?

What Does It Mean For Meta To Decentralize AI?

In short, greater revenue potential, greater accountability and greater risk of expense overruns: Greater revenue potential: These AI investments will likely focus on driving product usage as well as tracking and predicting user behavior for both new and existing products. Better products mean more usage, more usage typically means more Ad revenue for advertising revenue-driven … Continue reading What Does It Mean For Meta To Decentralize AI?

Wednesday Could Get Bloody for Equities

Wednesday Could Get Bloody for Equities

Too many bulge bracket firms are dismissing the chance of a 75 basis point increase by the Fed tomorrow. Variance of expectations means greater potential for volatility (i.e. downside risk). Over the weekend we stated that we believe there is a 50% probability that the Fed will raise its Fed Funds Rate by 75 basis … Continue reading Wednesday Could Get Bloody for Equities

Was Your RIF Deep Enough?

Was Your RIF Deep Enough?

Not sure if your reduction in force ("RIF"), was deep enough? If you must ask yourself that question, the answer is "No". Many publicly-traded Technology CEOs are about to navigate their first recessionary environment. If you are still managing headcount as if you are a venture-owned and operated company, you are carrying far too much … Continue reading Was Your RIF Deep Enough?

Will Powell Surprise To The Upside?

Will Powell Surprise To The Upside?

The Fed's FOMC meeting will take place this week on June 14th and 15th. Fed Chair Powell has lost control of the inflation narrative. The Fed needs to act boldly to capture control of the inflation narrative. Price inflation was obviously never going to be transitory given the Fed grew the money supply as measured … Continue reading Will Powell Surprise To The Upside?

One Company Won’t Build The Metaverse

One Company Won’t Build The Metaverse

Meta Platforms (META) will not single-handedly build the metaverse, nor will Microsoft (MSFT), nor Apple (AAPL), nor Autodesk (ADSK), nor Amazon (AMZN)... We think of the metaverse as a series of interconnected digital worlds where people engage in recreational and commercial activity. Everything from gaming to purchasing a house to leasing commercial space, to buying … Continue reading One Company Won’t Build The Metaverse

Meta (Facebook) Should Acquire Intuit

Meta (Facebook) Should Acquire Intuit

Meta Platforms/Facebook (META) should acquire Intuit (INTU). Meta's Facebook unit has peddled its wares to small businesses for some years. To this end, META agreed to acquire Kustomer (provider of CRM tools to small businesses), in November 2020. That deal finally closed in February 2022. Acquiring Intuit would advance the execution of Meta's small business … Continue reading Meta (Facebook) Should Acquire Intuit

Apple Health – What’s The Holdup?

Apple Health – What’s The Holdup?

Our criticism of Apple (AAPL) and its CEO Tim Cook typically focuses on the fact that Apple does not move swiftly enough as it relates to new market opportunities. Financial Services and Healthcare are two such examples. Back in 2018 we wrote a well-received article entitled Apple Is Well-Positioned to Lead A Consumer-Driven Healthcare Revolution. … Continue reading Apple Health – What’s The Holdup?

Google Pay, G Pay, Google Wallet, Oh My!

Google Pay, G Pay, Google Wallet, Oh My!

Google's customer-facing payments execution is confusing. One must drill down to understand the difference between Google Pay, G Pay and Google Wallet. Further, Google's strategy for each of its FinTech apps differs by geography. Google's confusing positioning is surprising to us given that we have the utmost respect for Bill Ready who leads Google's Payments … Continue reading Google Pay, G Pay, Google Wallet, Oh My!