Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Category: Technology
I don't see the Fed taking a pause regarding further hiking of its Fed Funds rate. Heck, banks can borrow at 4.71% from the BTFP, which is a discount to the Discount Window. A 25 BPS hike is likely in the cards. As we wrote recently, the Fed must fight inflation. Commercial banks will help … Continue reading I Don’t See The Fed Pausing Wednesday
All banks have got to be tightening access to credit despite the Fed's bail out and despite the SNB's bail out. What group does tightening credit hurt most? Private Equity firms. During the COVID trough we kept hearing how Private Equity firms would not feel the pain as they had access to approximately $1 Trillion … Continue reading Private Equity & A Fed Pivot
Back in March 2019 we wrote about the future use of NLP-powered applications across various industries - in particular Financial Services (our 2019 TEK2day article HERE). Microsoft (MSFT) is bringing natural language capability to its Productivity suite - Microsoft 365. This natural language offering has a name: "Copilot". We include an example of Copilot deployed … Continue reading NLP & Productivity Apps: Microsoft Copilot
Investors have historically moved to Gold in times of uncertainty. Gold has moved substantially higher since the market turmoil in the banking sector kicked off last week. Here's why investors should be interested in Gold: perpetual money printing by the Fed, ever larger fiscal deficits and a mounting debt load - the combination of which … Continue reading Gold Safer Than Software
The Fed modestly decreased its Treasury and mortgage-backed holdings during the week-ended Wednesday March 15th. Thus, the Fed simultaneously ran QT with QE running in the background in the form of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP). You may read about the BTFP's first week in operation by clicking HERE. Treasuries: The Fed’s Treasury security holdings … Continue reading The Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction (QT) Update Premium
Adobe's business will slow in our view as Technology companies, Media companies and companies in general reduce headcount, thereby negatively impacting ADBE's existing customer base as well as Adobe's ability to generate new subscription revenue (ARR). Our sense is that the U.S. economy softened in 2H February and month-to-date March. The key metric to watch … Continue reading Adobe – Biz Slowing?Premium
Fed Chair Powell has the backbone of a jellyfish. Therefore it will be interesting to see what he and his band of banking flunkies do at their FOMC meeting later this month - especially if Financials continue to trade down and should consumer prices remain elevated as we expect (CPI release is Tuesday at 8:30am … Continue reading Powell’s Puzzle. Dimon A Winner.
If the U.S. was to experience a widespread bank run, that would be the time for the Federal Reserve to expand the money supply, thereby providing liquidity to commercial banks such that they may meet depositor withdrawals. Thus far SVIB and SBNY have been closed by the FDIC. Apparently that was too much for Fed … Continue reading Bail Out
Venture Debt is a risky way to earn a return (just as SVIB) - especially when the source of capital is customer deposits as opposed to long-term limited partner capital for example. Extending loans to Technology firms that aren't generating cash, or in many cases that are not generating revenue is a risky bet. The … Continue reading Venture Debt & SVBPremium
I'm thinking of the venture capital community today as SVB Financial goes down for the count. I feel bad for the bank's employees, but could not care less about the bank's clients - the venture capital community at large. How did the FTX fraud come to be? There were two key components to the FTX … Continue reading Fraud Preys On A Lack of Due Diligence
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