Reading through WarnerBros Discovery's (ticker: WBD) financials... it makes lots of sense for WBD CEO David Zaslav to find a strategic partner. WBD is undersized in its direct-to-consumer ("DTC"), business - it needs more proprietary content and reach. WBD has approximately $47 billion in debt ($3 billion short-term, $44 billion long-term). An acquisition of Endeavor … Continue reading What’s Next For WarnerBros Discovery?
Apple's new Vision Pro AR headset is a cool piece of hardware/software that is light years ahead of Meta's Quest VR product line. However, at the end of the day Apple goes as the iPhone goes and AR devices won't move the Revenue nor EPS needles for AAPL anytime soon. High-end price point for Apple's … Continue reading Apple’s New AR Headset Won’t Move The Needle But May Hurt Meta..
META's value proposition to Ad Buyers was permanently impaired by Apple’s implementation of permission-based Ad tracking which has negatively impacted META's price per ad metric for almost two years (see chart and table below). Further adding to META's Ad woes, Google will phase out third-party cookies next year and replace them with its Privacy Sandbox. … Continue reading META’s Ad Problem
Disney (DIS) needs additional hit content for its Disney+ streaming platform. The streaming game is a scale game. Production houses that own their own streaming platform (Netflix, Disney, Comcast, Warner Bros. Discovery), need to ensure they have sufficient "hit" content to drive profitable streaming operations. Ideally those content producers want to achieve streaming profitability primarily … Continue reading Disney Should Acquire Warner Bros. Discovery
Some random thoughts on Google.. Google has an IR problem. For a company that grew constant currency revenues by 7% in the December quarter GOOGL shares ought to be trading higher. It's clear that investors don't fully understand the story. Google can simplify the story with a smarter IR effort. If the cloud around Google … Continue reading Random Thoughts On Google
Apple is going to win the VR/AR/MR war vs. Meta. Apple simply has more elements it can leverage across its ecosystem to deliver a superior user experience delivered through its forthcoming headset (June 2023). Microsoft will be a bigger VR/AR/MR player than META in due time given the combination of its Productivity apps (perfect for … Continue reading Apple vs. Meta Quest 2
I've long argued that Google is the AI King. Here's Why. Mobile. There are only 2 mobile operating systems that matter: Android (72% share) and iOS (28%) share. Therefore, when users interact with their phones through voice, they are primarily using Google's natural language AI (Google Assistant) or Apple's natural language AI (Siri). Nowhere to … Continue reading Putting AI In Perspective
Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
Past recessions have taught us that leading Technology companies typically gain marketshare during down economies. I would expect this economic down period to be no different. Good news for Amazon (AMZN), Microsoft (MSFT), and others. Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT): Amazon's AWS unit and Microsoft's Azure unit will be mixed bags: Usage: Usage - and … Continue reading Technology Leaders Will Gain Share
I am not buying the talk that Bob Iger's mission is to identify his successor at Disney (DIS). A sale will most likely be Iger's final act as Disney CEO. Iger already whiffed once with his selection of Bob Chapek as his successor. Iger will not make the same mistake twice. Rather than name a … Continue reading Bob Iger’s Mission? Sell Disney.