Tag: AWS

Narcissist CEOs Drive Risky Corporate Behavior

Narcissist CEOs Drive Risky Corporate Behavior

CEOs that allow themselves to be ruled by ego and emotion, that need to see their name in news headlines ("Narcissist" CEOs as defined by Stanford Professor Charles O'Reilly), are more likely to take significant risks - including impulsive M&A transactions - at the expense of a thoughtful, long-term operating strategy. Stanford's O'Reilly has done … Continue reading Narcissist CEOs Drive Risky Corporate Behavior

Time to Spin-Off AWS, Azure and GCP

Time to Spin-Off AWS, Azure and GCP

Given Snowflake's rich valuation, it may be time for Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft to spin-off GCP, AWS and Azure. Snowflake priced its IPO yesterday and the stock closed up 112% to $253.93 for a valuation of approximately $70 billion. Assuming calendar year 2020 revenue of $500 million implies a MV/Revenue multiple of 140x. The combination … Continue reading Time to Spin-Off AWS, Azure and GCP

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

When it comes to Technology stocks we are firmly in the Speculation Era. It is likely to stay that way for the near-term. October earnings calls may provide a bump in the road. Looming corporate tax increases will likely put an end to the bubble. The combination of Trump tax cuts and the recent fiscal … Continue reading The Tech Stock Speculation Era

Amazon’s AWS Unit Is Differentiating Via A “Verticalization” Strategy

Amazon’s AWS Unit Is Differentiating Via A “Verticalization” Strategy

Amazon's AWS cloud platform is by definition a "horizontal" offering. "Horizontal" in that it is industry agnostic. Beginning with the Automotive vertical, AWS is deploying a "verticalization" strategy that layers industry vertical capability on top of its core horizontal offering to differentiate from competitors. We wrote about AWS' relationship with VW last year. Today, Toyota … Continue reading Amazon’s AWS Unit Is Differentiating Via A “Verticalization” Strategy

Perception Is Everything

Perception Is Everything

Investors finally may be valuing Amazon as the AI-powered, massively-scaled, market-leading Technology company that it is. We could make the case that AWS and Amazon Prime combined are worth $1.5 trillion (a 20x revenue multiple applied to each). This valuation would imply that the "Retail" operation (ex-Prime), including Whole Foods, Amazon Go, Amazon Pharmacy, Amazon … Continue reading Perception Is Everything

Poor Reputations Travel Quickly

Poor Reputations Travel Quickly

Amazon is developing a reputation for poor deal etiquette. Specifically (as reported by the WSJ), Amazon is using intelligence gathered by its venture arm during deal due diligence to develop competitive offerings. Microsoft, Google, Walmart, Alibaba, Shopify and others will likely capture a percentage of venture and M&A deal flow that otherwise would have gone … Continue reading Poor Reputations Travel Quickly

E-Commerce Is Fluid and Walmart Appears Undervalued

E-Commerce Is Fluid and Walmart Appears Undervalued

We spent much of last week collecting e-commerce and payments-related data. That long-form TEK2day report is on the back burner for now. In the interim we share our general thoughts on e-commerce and one retail giant in particular. The retail space is having difficulty overcoming COVID having suffered record bankruptcies. Brooks Brothers is the latest … Continue reading E-Commerce Is Fluid and Walmart Appears Undervalued

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Pt. I: Amazon Prime vs. Netflix & Disney+. Pt. II: Is Amazon Sitting On AWS 2.0?

Pt. I: Amazon Prime vs. Netflix & Disney+. Pt. II: Is Amazon Sitting On AWS 2.0?

When compared to Netflix and Disney+, Amazon Prime is the most durable revenue stream of the three. We cover Prime's attributes and where we believe leverage points exist, including Amazon's strategic investment in "COVID-proofing" its distribution and customer-facing operations. There could be an AWS-like opportunity if Amazon decides to commercialize its COVID response. Part I … Continue reading Pt. I: Amazon Prime vs. Netflix & Disney+. Pt. II: Is Amazon Sitting On AWS 2.0?