Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: Bitcoin
I'm thinking of the venture capital community today as SVB Financial goes down for the count. I feel bad for the bank's employees, but could not care less about the bank's clients - the venture capital community at large. How did the FTX fraud come to be? There were two key components to the FTX … Continue reading Fraud Preys On A Lack of Due Diligence
Just a reminder that if Coinbase (ticker: COIN), was to file for bankruptcy protection, customer assets would be considered Coinbase property. Why would any retail or institutional investor ever engage Coinbase as a custodian given that risk? The excerpt below is from COIN's 10Q filing: Moreover, because custodially held crypto assets may be considered to … Continue reading Coinbase: What’s Yours Is Mine
What are Binance and Coinbase (COIN) worth given that crypto speculators are running for the hills? The underlying Distributed Ledger Technology (i.e. Blockchain) is worth something, but not enough to support COIN's $12 Billion market cap. Simply because a stock has lost 80-90% YTD does not mean it won't lose another 80-90%.
All Central Banks wish to control the money supply. The Federal Reserve is no different. To date Bitcoin and Ethereum alone are off approximately $1.4 Trillion from their collective peak (this type of inflation is not captured in CPI statistics nor in the velocity of money - which helps explain why velocity did not accelerate … Continue reading Regulating Crypto
It's a bit of an eye test and may require you to pinch and expand your phone screen. The takeaway is that the purple line that exceeds 300% year-over-year growth is the Money Supply (M1) measured at monthly intervals. When the Fed prints money and mails it to people they will spend it. In this … Continue reading Chart of The Day
We highlight some of the bubbles (some call it the "Everything Bubble"), caused by the ultra-loose fiscal and monetary policies that have distorted markets since April 2020. The longer Powell & Company wait to taper and eventually raise interest rates, the more difficult it will be to reel in the price inflation caused by the … Continue reading More Than Tiny Bubbles: Policy-Driven Market Distortions
The Fed, Treasury and the SEC fired a shot at stablecoins. It feels to us that the three Federal agencies are clearing a path for the digital dollar. Stablecoins are crypto currencies that are pegged to a fiat currency and thus behave similarly to fiat currencies and therefore represent a potential threat to fiat currencies. … Continue reading The Fed & Treasury Are Clearing The Runway For The Digital Dollar
Tesla CEO Elon Musk (not a founder as he claims) admitted he does not enjoy being CEO today in the SolarCity trial. The Teflon will eventually wear off of pied piper Elon Musk. Mr. Musk was accused of fraud by the SEC in 2018 and was subsequently in violation of his SEC settlement. Mr. Musk … Continue reading Why Would Anyone Follow Elon Musk Into Battle?
Since last year we have held the view that the retail investor has piled into the riskiest assets whether they be cryptocurrencies or profitless, high-multiple Technology stocks. This retail phenomenon was powered in large part by Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation benefits (part of the CARES Act), which drew a new investor class into the market. … Continue reading What Will Happen to Crypto & Risk Assets When COVID Unemployment Benefits Expire?
A U.S. CBDC Means Less Privacy for Americans, More Competition for Banks, End of Days for Crypto. (Tickers mentioned: JPM, BAC, WFC) On Thursday Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made a statement about the Fed's progress in exploring a U.S. CBDC ("Central Bank Digital Currency", see the below video). Powell assured viewers that a U.S. … Continue reading A Digital Dollar Is Coming
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