Get ready to hear the word "cautious" repeated ad nauseam on forthcoming Technology company EPS calls this month and next. Temenos (tkr: TEMN), is one such example. You may read the FinTech company's Q4 press release here: https://www.temenos.com/news/2023/01/16/temenos-pre-announces-preliminary-q4-and-fy-2022-results-bxf9181m/ Temenos also announced a CEO change. I expect to see more CEO changes than normal in 2023. … Continue reading Q4’22 EPS Call Buzzword: “Cautious”
Tag: CEO
Management Teams Are An Afterthought
Management Teams are an afterthought and it is a shame. Microsoft would not be enjoying the same level of success if Steve Ballmer was still at the helm.Not every Steve Ballmer successor would have been as effective as current Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella. Bill Gates was the right person at the right time to co-found … Continue reading Management Teams Are An Afterthought
When CEO Compensation Is The Primary M&A Driver
Too frequently companies execute M&A transactions not because a given acquisition strengthens the acquiring company's competitive position or enhances customer value, but because the acquired company could help boost CEO compensation of the acquirer by driving some combination of higher total revenue growth, higher EBITDA, higher bookings and/or a higher stock price. Today's announcement that … Continue reading When CEO Compensation Is The Primary M&A Driver
The Economic Genie Is Out Of The Bottle
It does not matter what the Fed does with the Fed Funds Rate at this point, the global economy is softening and is likely to get worse. Whether the Fed ultimately takes rates to 3.5% or 4.0% will have little effect on the macroeconomic backdrop (QT is a different story). More job cuts. Large Tech … Continue reading The Economic Genie Is Out Of The Bottle
Less Downside Protection From Share Buybacks
As Technology companies prepare to report earnings we expect that a number of companies will curb share repurchase programs given the cost of debt has increased since the Q1 earnings reports of April and May. This will provide less downside protection for Technology names. Treasury yields for the 2-year, the 5-year and the 10-year are … Continue reading Less Downside Protection From Share Buybacks
Management Teams Will Matter More To Investors
As growth slows and interest rates climb, management teams will command a greater weighting in investors' due diligence processes as compared to the 2009-2022 period of ultra-low interest rates and Quantitative Easing ("QE"). While it is too early to call peak inflation and far too early to talk about a Fed pivot, it is never … Continue reading Management Teams Will Matter More To Investors
Boeing Requires An Overhaul
Boeing (BA) senior management and Board requires an overhaul. We first wrote that Boeing ought to replace its CEO and Board back in September 2020 and as recently as February 2021, well before Ryanair CEO Michael O'Leary voiced his opinion. Boeing is a Technology company that would do well to look to the Technology sector … Continue reading Boeing Requires An Overhaul
What’s Next For Netflix?
We have seen this movie before. Founder CEO hands the reins to a successor. The company stumbles. Founder returns as CEO. We expect this scenario to play out over the next 24 months at Netflix. Founder Reed Hastings will return after Ted Sarandos has had a brief opportunity to right the ship. It is game … Continue reading What’s Next For Netflix?
The Stock Buyback Scam
Prior to the 2008-2009 Financial crisis, stock buybacks were typically used by management teams to offset options dilution and to acquire undervalued company shares. Today, companies primarily use stock buybacks to goose the value of CEO options packages as well as to goose the value of shares held by CEOs and large institutional holders. The … Continue reading The Stock Buyback Scam
For Stock Returns, Look Where Others Are Not
Small cap equities and international equities are generally good places for investors to begin their work of finding undervalued companies. In this age of ultra-low interest rates and overvalued assets it makes sense for public company investors to look for value in areas of the market that receive less investor attention than sectors that garner … Continue reading For Stock Returns, Look Where Others Are Not
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