Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: commercial real estate
Given that Tech layoffs have ramped higher each quarter since Q3 2021, I don't see how Tech is an investor safe haven. Q1 2023 is the worst quarter yet in terms of the number of employees laid off and it could get far worse from here as this credit crisis will be more severe than … Continue reading Tech Is No Safe Haven
Short-term Treasuries look attractive. The 1-month T-Bill offers a 4.67% yield. Beats cash and beats holding an equity index fund or ETF. I'm always a fan of owning Quality companies at an attractive price. However, I don't value equities as most investors do - I don't bucket stocks into "Value" "GARP" and "Growth" buckets. I … Continue reading Short-Term Paper, Quality Names and Gold
2023 is shaping up to be a tough year for the CRE and Housing markets as interest rates remain elevated. When I think of the pension funds that own CMBS debt I shudder. Pension funds that invested in alternative asset classes over the past 20 years will have to mark down their books for the … Continue reading 2023 Won’t Be Pretty For CRE & Housing
Director & Officer ("D&O") insurance premiums spiked and coverage narrowed last year as a result of COVID-19. As vaccinations are distributed COVID-related underwriting risk will begin to soften which will be reflected in lower premiums and broader coverage. All of this is to say do not expect every mid-to-large-sized company to be fully back to … Continue reading Back To The Office Will Look Different Compared To 2019
The SBA lacks the infrastructure to efficiently process the $350 billion capital allotment it received from the recent $2 trillion economic stimulus plan (read our breakdown here). The SBA's loan origination Website is overwhelmed from a bandwidth standpoint. The SBA's Website regularly times out or crashes before providing loan origination IDs to bank partners. It … Continue reading SBA Loan Processing – Every Which Way But Smooth
More Market Uncertainty Is Coming. However, Don't Paint with A Broad Brush. Align Yourself with Market Leaders. We expect Enterprise Software companies to provide conservative outlooks for the 2020 calendar year. We do not expect Enterprise Software companies to completely yank their respective 2020 outlooks as have other Technology companies. We anticipate negative investor sentiment … Continue reading Enterprise Software 2020 Outlook
The TEK2day PropTech Outlook provides our perspective on where we believe the PropTech industry is headed over the next few years. Major themes include: I.) further industry consolidation and II.) AI-driven revenue opportunities and operating efficiency gains. The TEK2day PropTech Landscape (link at the bottom of this article) includes company names, descriptions, CEOs, 2019 revenue … Continue reading TEK2day 2020 PropTech Outlook & LandscapePremium
The Industrial CRE sector remains strong as Amazon and other e-commerce players acquire industrial properties to extend delivery capabilities. Amazon (tkr: AMZN), is investing to make one-day delivery standard for Prime members which in turn is driving the need for more local industrial space near high population density areas. "We’re currently working on evolving Prime … Continue reading E-Commerce Continues to Drive Demand for Industrial Space
Incentivize Prospective Participants with A Seat at the Table MoviePass shut down on September 14th. We do not have first-hand knowledge of MoviePass’ ever-evolving business model. However, we do know that MoviePass never quite figured out how to properly incentivize movie theaters to drive audience participation. When building new network businesses, it makes sense to … Continue reading If You Build It They Won’t Necessarily ComePremium
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