Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: CRE
2023 is shaping up to be a tough year for the CRE and Housing markets as interest rates remain elevated. When I think of the pension funds that own CMBS debt I shudder. Pension funds that invested in alternative asset classes over the past 20 years will have to mark down their books for the … Continue reading 2023 Won’t Be Pretty For CRE & Housing
Office vacancy rates have not recovered to pre-COVID levels and will likely go much higher as job losses mount and as companies work to reduce expenses. San Francisco and New York City have seen vacancy rates spike over the Q1 2020 - Q3 2022 period (see first table below), while many major metro areas have … Continue reading Office Vacancy Rates Are Going Higher
The grow-at-all-costs venture capital culture of the past 20-plus years ruins companies. How? Far too much focus is placed on revenue growth at the expense of sound operations and profitability. Too many venture-backed companies grow at a pace that far outstrips those companies' ability to scale operations in a manner that supports growth. The result … Continue reading VC Culture Ruins Companies
Director & Officer ("D&O") insurance premiums spiked and coverage narrowed last year as a result of COVID-19. As vaccinations are distributed COVID-related underwriting risk will begin to soften which will be reflected in lower premiums and broader coverage. All of this is to say do not expect every mid-to-large-sized company to be fully back to … Continue reading Back To The Office Will Look Different Compared To 2019
For our inaugural CEO Hall of Fame class we selected CEO Hall of Fame members largely based upon their contribution toward building their respective companies as well as creating long-term shareholder value. Our selection process included a variety of quantitative and qualitative elements including financial operating performance, total stock returns, longevity, innovation, corporate governance and … Continue reading The CEORater CEO Hall of Fame Class of 2020
It is going to take several years for the U.S. economy to recover back to 2019 levels. 2019 is a low bar in our view as that economy - much like the present one - was debt-fueled, deficit-ridden and plagued by artificially low interest rates. These factors in the aggregate have stymied sustainable, real economic … Continue reading Markets Are Poised To Grind Lower
Our 2019 Technology CEOs of the Year included Andy Florance of CoStar Group (tkr: CSGP), Lance Uggla of IHS Markit (tkr: INFO), Ajay Banga of Mastercard (tkr: MA), Satya Nadella of Microsoft (tkr: MSFT) and Bill Stone of SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC). The risk/reward ratio for the equity markets hasn't been this unfavorable since the … Continue reading Catching Up with CEORater’s 2019 Technology CEOs of the Year
We are due for an equity market shakeout. The NASDAQ is up 450% since January 2009. The 26% spike in the NASDAQ from October 2019 to February 2020 on a lack of supporting fundamentals is like nothing I've ever seen. By late March we had traded down 30% from February's high yet we have gained … Continue reading The Market Is Upside Down
The SBA lacks the infrastructure to efficiently process the $350 billion capital allotment it received from the recent $2 trillion economic stimulus plan (read our breakdown here). The SBA's loan origination Website is overwhelmed from a bandwidth standpoint. The SBA's Website regularly times out or crashes before providing loan origination IDs to bank partners. It … Continue reading SBA Loan Processing – Every Which Way But Smooth
There is significant credit risk that is not priced into the markets. Looming credit defaults and downgrades - especially high grade to high yield downgrades ("fallen angles") - are bound to create uncertainty beyond the credit markets. There is significant default and downgrade risk associated with Commercial Real Estate ("CRE") credits. Nobody knows when major … Continue reading Credit Risk Is Substantial and Underestimated
You must be logged in to post a comment.