WarnerMedia ("WM") and AT&T (tkr: T), leadership teams should take note. WM/AT&T completely botched its summer movie release schedule, failing to adapt to the post-COVID reality. The company took the "wait-and-see" approach rather than controlling that which it could. The result? Market share lost to Netflix and DisneyPlus. WarnerMedia's summer tentpole film - Tenet - … Continue reading Muscles, Viruses, Nature and People Adapt. So Do The Best Leadership Teams.
Market leaders may iterate and experiment with less risk of customer churn than upstarts working to establish market position. Amazon Prime is a good example. I am toying with the idea of grouping some of our TEK2day writings as an Amazon Kindle book. While playing with the Kindle direct publishing feature I noticed a new … Continue reading Market Leaders Should Experiment Like Amazon
COVID-19 is forcing people, companies and economies to adapt. Many companies have recalibrated their business models to better compete in this new COVID reality. We have yet to see one of America's great export industries - Hollywood - evolve to better capitalize on the current reality. Back in October 2019 we wrote that the future … Continue reading The Best CEOs Are Willing To Break With Tradition
We outline CEO changes that have occurred over the past few weeks Click here for the PDF presentation. https://youtu.be/R7K2KPRtTmU
Disney's Parks business is preventing the "Content" side from realizing its full valuation potential. Look no further than Netflix as a proxy. Disney's (tkr: DIS), "Content" business is significant. "Parks" is large enough to stand on its own. A simple run rate calculation on Disney's December quarter "Content" Operating Income figure of $1.9 billion implies … Continue reading Disney Ought to Spin Off the Parks Business
Disney CEO Bob Iger stepped down from his CEO post effective immediately and will remain Executive Chairman through December 2021. Bob Chapek has been named Chief Executive Officer. Our expectation was that Kevin Mayer - Chairman Direct-to-Consumer & International - would be named Mr. Iger's successor. Does this abrupt CEO change foreshadow a larger transaction? … Continue reading Disney’s Sudden CEO Change – What Does It Foreshadow?
AT&T's acquisition of Time Warner seemed like a good idea at the time. That is no longer true. Tickers mentioned: AAPL, AMZN, CMCSA, DIS, GOOG, NFLX, T, VZ AT&T's $85 billion acquisition of Time Warner seemed like a good idea when it was first kicked around a few years ago. AT&T would differentiate its fiber … Continue reading AT&T Should Sell WarnerMedia
The asset management game is all about Assets Under Management ("AUM"). The entertainment game is all about "IP". By the way, Bob Iger likes Bond. Asset Management & Entertainment Share a Hunger for Assets Over the past decade asset managers have shifted away from active management and alpha generation in favor of index funds and … Continue reading BlackRock and Disney Have This in Common…
Today Disney announced that its new streaming service - Disney+ - crossed the 10 million subscriber mark on Day 1. What might the value of those 10 million new subscribers be if we were to apply a SaaS-like multiple of revenue to the approximate $840 million revenue stream? (read more).
We believe there is significant opportunity cost to Apple TV+. Admittedly it is difficult to quantify. Apple is transitioning from a transaction revenue model (iPhone and related device sales) to a hybrid revenue model as services such as Apple TV+ introduce a recurring revenue element. We like recurring revenue. By definition recurring revenue is predictable … Continue reading Apple TV+