Tag: Earnings

TINA, ZIRP, The Future & The Retail Investor

TINA, ZIRP, The Future & The Retail Investor

Investors have lost their minds when it comes to high-flying stocks such as Tesla (TSLA, up 830% over 13 months), Shopify (SHOP, up 210% over 4 months), DataDog (DDOG, up 220% since the March lows), and many other names where valuations are based on anything but the fundamentals. Why? There Is No Alternative (TINA): The … Continue reading TINA, ZIRP, The Future & The Retail Investor

Earnings Calls – A Keyword Analysis

Earnings Calls – A Keyword Analysis

We ran a Natural Language Processing ("NLP")-based analysis of earnings calls from this week. We captured keywords and phrases from 23 earnings calls. Our report is sorted alphabetically by ticker symbol. Access the free report HERE. This analysis may be customized to capture certain keywords and phrases for any text-based document. https://soundcloud.com/ceorater

If We Are Being Honest

If We Are Being Honest

If we are being honest companies have near zero visibility into the short-term despite sell-side analysts' attempts to generate positive spin. We use last night's Google earnings call as an example. Google's Ad business deteriorated over the course of the March quarter from a year-over-year growth position to a "mid-teens" percentage Y-O-Y decline by the … Continue reading If We Are Being Honest

Tech Layoffs & The Mythical “V” Recovery

Tech Layoffs & The Mythical “V” Recovery

Headcount reductions continue. We have updated our list of recent Tech company layoffs. Access the Excel version HERE. The PDF version may be accessed HERE. It is difficult to imagine a snap economic recovery as companies continue to shed talented people. The mythical "V" recovery would require all components of the global economy to recover … Continue reading Tech Layoffs & The Mythical “V” Recovery

Earnings Summary: A Rational Approach To “Guidance”

Earnings Summary: A Rational Approach To “Guidance”

We were recently critical of companies that decided to completely withdraw their financial outlook given the economic uncertainty that has resulted from the ongoing COVID virus. The good news is that a number of companies are providing financial outlooks, albeit they are taking a conservative approach (which is entirely logical from our perspective). We reviewed … Continue reading Earnings Summary: A Rational Approach To “Guidance”

Earnings Season Thus Far: Lack of Color & Backbone

Earnings Season Thus Far: Lack of Color & Backbone

Earnings calls thus far have struck a similar tone XYZ CEO: "Let me begin by saying our thoughts are with..."XYZ CEO: "We are grateful for the opportunity to delight our customers during this difficult time. We got off to a good start in the months of January and February as we experienced healthy year-over-year growth. … Continue reading Earnings Season Thus Far: Lack of Color & Backbone

CEORater Mock Portfolio

CEORater Mock Portfolio

Update on our "Buy & Hold" mock portfolio. This is an experiment we started last year where we buy quality names into the portfolio and essentially only sell when there is a change in executive management (CEO leaves). Microsoft (tkr: MSFT) is probably the world's most durable company and SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC) is one … Continue reading CEORater Mock Portfolio

Enterprise Software 2020 Outlook

Enterprise Software 2020 Outlook

More Market Uncertainty Is Coming. However, Don't Paint with A Broad Brush. Align Yourself with Market Leaders. We expect Enterprise Software companies to provide conservative outlooks for the 2020 calendar year. We do not expect Enterprise Software companies to completely yank their respective 2020 outlooks as have other Technology companies. We anticipate negative investor sentiment … Continue reading Enterprise Software 2020 Outlook

It Takes Two to Tango. Don’t Expect M&A Activity to Accelerate Anytime Soon

It Takes Two to Tango. Don’t Expect M&A Activity to Accelerate Anytime Soon

Based on June quarter earnings call results, management teams have less visibility into Sales pipelines, Revenue forecasts and Profitability in the aggregate than several months ago. This in turn causes would be acquirers to haircut purchase price valuations if not walk away from deals entirely. In the former case, valuation haircuts typically either stall deal … Continue reading It Takes Two to Tango. Don’t Expect M&A Activity to Accelerate Anytime Soon