Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: Employees
Regardless of where CPI lands tomorrow, my view is that the Fed will hold rates higher for longer than the market believes. Higher interest rates combined with a shrinking money supply (QT), translates to: tighter monetary conditions, a higher cost of capital, less revenue visibility for companies, more employee layoffs and a deeper recession. The … Continue reading Tomorrow’s CPI = Noise
Companies are a reflection of the personalities of their founders and CEO. Is anyone surprised by the fact that Google terminated employees without notification other than automated user account deactivations? Google is a Quant-centric company founded by two Quants (Larry Page and Sergey Brin) and led by a hand-picked, data-driven, quant-centric CEO (Sundar Pichai). You … Continue reading Google Firings: Why CEO Personalities Matter
More Technology-related layoffs have occured in Q4 2022 than at the COVID economic trough in Q2 2020 (51,048 employees in the month of November 2022). Technology layoffs continue to mount as: interest rates climb; inflation remains elevated; global demand sputters and; as macro-economic uncertainty remains high. Check out Layoffs.fyi (created by Roger Lee), to track … Continue reading Technology Layoffs Continue To Climb
Not sure if your reduction in force ("RIF"), was deep enough? If you must ask yourself that question, the answer is "No". Many publicly-traded Technology CEOs are about to navigate their first recessionary environment. If you are still managing headcount as if you are a venture-owned and operated company, you are carrying far too much … Continue reading Was Your RIF Deep Enough?
Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Microsoft each grew headcount in 2020 with all but Alphabet accelerating headcount growth. Big Tech has a hunger for software engineers, architects, designers and data scientists. These skilled employees are working to scale sophisticated cloud platforms, applications and services that increasingly leverage advanced automation and analytics powered by artificial intelligence/ … Continue reading Big Tech’s Hunger For Talent
Over the past 11 months and as recently as Tuesday the Federal Reserve has consistently reiterated its mission to get the U.S. Economy back to full employment. We are not there yet. The labor participation rate remains below 2008-2009 financial crisis levels. Let me know your thoughts on the below (particularly if you are on … Continue reading Is The Fed’s View On The Relationship Between Interest Rates and Jobs Wrong?
Lyft decided to suspend its rideshare service in California after being ordered to account for drivers as employees. Uber may be next. It is unlikely that Uber or Lyft could ever operate profitably were they both forced to account for all drivers as employees. In equity and fixed income analysis we have the "consolidation" principle … Continue reading Lyft Tapped Out In California. Uber May Be Next.
We have a growing demand problem as a result of millions of jobs lost to the COVID pandemic (Personal Consumption -13.6% March to April 2020). Many of these jobs are not coming back as companies close permanently, realize they can do more with less and lose market share to competitors. Charts, video and podcasts at … Continue reading Houston, We Have A Demand ProblemPremium
Headcount reductions continue. We have updated our list of recent Tech company layoffs. Access the Excel version HERE. The PDF version may be accessed HERE. It is difficult to imagine a snap economic recovery as companies continue to shed talented people. The mythical "V" recovery would require all components of the global economy to recover … Continue reading Tech Layoffs & The Mythical “V” Recovery
Notice anything about the above image? It looks like a Facebook feed and five of the nine content pieces (only three are fully visible), are videos. The image is a screen capture from Goldman Sachs' homepage - part of a modernization/ outreach effort under new Goldman CEO David Solomon. Personally I've noticed that companies are … Continue reading Every Company Is A Content Company
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