Tag: equities

Long Rates Continue To Climb As Inflation Persists. Nothing To See Here.

Long Rates Continue To Climb As Inflation Persists. Nothing To See Here.

The Fed would have us believe "There's nothing to see here," (to quote Frank Drebin), as it relates to inflation. Consumer spending funded by government debt is of inferior quality as compared to spending funded by increased production. In January Americans spent their debt-funded government checks that were mailed out at the end of December. … Continue reading Long Rates Continue To Climb As Inflation Persists. Nothing To See Here.

2021 Outlook: The Froth Will Continue

2021 Outlook: The Froth Will Continue

From Bubble valuations to zombie companies to Cleantech, 2021 is likely to deliver more of the excesses of 2020. Barring a negative event out of left field, it will take a meaningful interest rate hike and/or corporate tax increase to derail the asset bubble of 2020 that bled into equities, fixed income, home values, lumber, … Continue reading 2021 Outlook: The Froth Will Continue

Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

From time to time we have written about CEO Personality and its impact on corporate operations and stock returns. Earlier this week we spoke with Dr. Joseph Harrison of TCU. Dr. Harrison and his team recently performed an Advanced Analytics exercise that analyzed 2,880 CEOs regarding their personality traits and related company stock returns. Click … Continue reading Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Snowflake and Tesla are the poster children for irrational valuations and outsized CEO compensation packages. Investors - or more accurately "speculators" - value Analytics company Snowflake (tkr: SNOW) at 183x Revenue. That's right, not 183x depressed earnings. 183x revenue. ($110 billion Market Value on approximately $600 million of Revenue). Speculators value Snowflake 9x more than … Continue reading Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

When it comes to Technology stocks we are firmly in the Speculation Era. It is likely to stay that way for the near-term. October earnings calls may provide a bump in the road. Looming corporate tax increases will likely put an end to the bubble. The combination of Trump tax cuts and the recent fiscal … Continue reading The Tech Stock Speculation Era

Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Equity funds continue to experience fund outflows as taxable bond funds enjoy fund inflows. (see table & chart below). A modicum of sanity has crept into the equity markets insofar as Technology names are concerned. High multiple growth names that were driven primarily by speculation and momentum have finally started to pull back over the … Continue reading Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Last week we wrote that higher tax rates and advanced automation (AI/machine learning) are coming. Private Equity - especially long duration funds - will be a big winner should Biden win the Presidency as investors will work to shield assets from higher capital gains taxes. The outline below was prepared by TaxFoundation.org. Click the image … Continue reading Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

State-Led Capitalism

State-Led Capitalism

Private markets are no longer primarily determined by the actions of private buyers and sellers. The State now controls private markets as the primary mover. Guessing the timing, scale and duration of massive fiscal and monetary programs has superseded if not largely replaced fundamental analysis. That's not to say that fundamentals do not matter, but … Continue reading State-Led Capitalism

The Rise of Fractional Share Trading

The Rise of Fractional Share Trading

Robinhood (pvt.), Fidelity (pvt.), Schwab (tkr: SCHW), SoFi (pvt.) and Square (tkr: SQ) each have fractional share investment offerings. Fractional shares enable investors to purchase one U.S. Dollar's worth of a given equity ($5 in Schwab's case), rather than a full single share. For example, investors may purchase $1 worth of Amazon (tkr: AMZN) rather … Continue reading The Rise of Fractional Share Trading