The market is trading on speculation. Fundamentals don't matter now. Fundamentals will matter again. The Fed can print only so much money before inflation rears its ugly head. We can't continue to devalue the dollar as a matter of long-term monetary policy without consequences. Our "print first, ask questions later" monetary policy and "subsidize everything" … Continue reading Mr. Market Is Trading On Speculation. Fundamentals Will Matter Again.
A COVID-19 vaccine is required to restore public confidence. Public confidence is required to kick start the global economy on its path to normal productivity levels. Similarly, the equity and credit markets will require public confidence and a healthy economy to return to sustainable growth. The COVID vaccine must be in production and readily available … Continue reading A COVID-19 Vaccine Is Required To Restore Full Public Confidence
Update on our "Buy & Hold" mock portfolio. This is an experiment we started last year where we buy quality names into the portfolio and essentially only sell when there is a change in executive management (CEO leaves). Microsoft (tkr: MSFT) is probably the world's most durable company and SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC) is one … Continue reading CEORater Mock Portfolio
This is a stock picker's market. The table seems to be set for a return to active management. It seems the equity markets have traded in synchronicity over the past number of weeks during the COVID outbreak. There has been little differentiation between individual Technology stocks on the way down and on up days. This … Continue reading The Return of Actively-Managed Funds
A recession is defined as an economic period where GDP declines for two consecutive quarters. We believe the next recessionary period will be different as a result of artificially low interest rates. The United States' proclivity to print money and maintain artificially low interest rates makes it difficult for institutional investors to find yield. Gone … Continue reading The Next Recession Will Prove Different for U.S. Equity Markets