Tag: equities

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

When it comes to Technology stocks we are firmly in the Speculation Era. It is likely to stay that way for the near-term. October earnings calls may provide a bump in the road. Looming corporate tax increases will likely put an end to the bubble. The combination of Trump tax cuts and the recent fiscal … Continue reading The Tech Stock Speculation Era

Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Equity funds continue to experience fund outflows as taxable bond funds enjoy fund inflows. (see table & chart below). A modicum of sanity has crept into the equity markets insofar as Technology names are concerned. High multiple growth names that were driven primarily by speculation and momentum have finally started to pull back over the … Continue reading Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide

Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Last week we wrote that higher tax rates and advanced automation (AI/machine learning) are coming. Private Equity - especially long duration funds - will be a big winner should Biden win the Presidency as investors will work to shield assets from higher capital gains taxes. The outline below was prepared by TaxFoundation.org. Click the image … Continue reading Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming

State-Led Capitalism

State-Led Capitalism

Private markets are no longer primarily determined by the actions of private buyers and sellers. The State now controls private markets as the primary mover. Guessing the timing, scale and duration of massive fiscal and monetary programs has superseded if not largely replaced fundamental analysis. That's not to say that fundamentals do not matter, but … Continue reading State-Led Capitalism

The Rise of Fractional Share Trading

The Rise of Fractional Share Trading

Robinhood (pvt.), Fidelity (pvt.), Schwab (tkr: SCHW), SoFi (pvt.) and Square (tkr: SQ) each have fractional share investment offerings. Fractional shares enable investors to purchase one U.S. Dollar's worth of a given equity ($5 in Schwab's case), rather than a full single share. For example, investors may purchase $1 worth of Amazon (tkr: AMZN) rather … Continue reading The Rise of Fractional Share Trading

The Forever Bubble-Blowing Fed

The Forever Bubble-Blowing Fed

The Fed's behavior in recent months has been something out of a horror movie. The low interest rate, expansionary monetary policies introduced by former Fed Chair Bernanke and continued by former Fed Chair Yellen have dramatically accelerated under current Fed Chair Powell. Bernanke dealt in $Billions, Chairman Powell prefers $Trillions. Click any of the charts … Continue reading The Forever Bubble-Blowing Fed

Mr. Market Is Trading On Speculation. Fundamentals Will Matter Again.

Mr. Market Is Trading On Speculation. Fundamentals Will Matter Again.

The market is trading on speculation. Fundamentals don't matter now. Fundamentals will matter again. The Fed can print only so much money before inflation rears its ugly head. We can't continue to devalue the dollar as a matter of long-term monetary policy without consequences. Our "print first, ask questions later" monetary policy and "subsidize everything" … Continue reading Mr. Market Is Trading On Speculation. Fundamentals Will Matter Again.

A COVID-19 Vaccine Is Required To Restore Full Public Confidence

A COVID-19 Vaccine Is Required To Restore Full Public Confidence

A COVID-19 vaccine is required to restore public confidence. Public confidence is required to kick start the global economy on its path to normal productivity levels. Similarly, the equity and credit markets will require public confidence and a healthy economy to return to sustainable growth. The COVID vaccine must be in production and readily available … Continue reading A COVID-19 Vaccine Is Required To Restore Full Public Confidence

CEORater Mock Portfolio

CEORater Mock Portfolio

Update on our "Buy & Hold" mock portfolio. This is an experiment we started last year where we buy quality names into the portfolio and essentially only sell when there is a change in executive management (CEO leaves). Microsoft (tkr: MSFT) is probably the world's most durable company and SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC) is one … Continue reading CEORater Mock Portfolio