We expect Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to reiterate: 1.) the Fed's near zero interest rate policy for the foreseeable future, 2.) the Fed's willingness for market intervention. Further, we expect the Fed to provide guidance concerning its CPI increase tolerance level. Historically that tolerance level has been 2%. We will clearly overshoot a 2% CPI … Continue reading Tomorrow’s Fed Meeting Will Be More of The Same
Tag: Fed policy
Despite a record increase in the Money Supply (M2) the U.S. economy likely will not experience near-term consumer price inflation given less than robust Personal Consumption. Further expansionary monetary policy will increase price inflation risk, particularly if Personal Consumption continues to rebound. This story is most efficiently told with pictures and captions. Click on any … Continue reading Near-Term Consumer Price Inflation Risk Is Likely Low
Step 1.) Close down a country: What's done is done. However, one of the consequences of shutting down the United States is that the speculative grade default rate is expected to almost triple - 4.7% to 14.4% - within the next year. Not to speak of the millions of non-public businesses that have suffered revenue … Continue reading How to Destroy Productivity & Thwart Innovation: A 4-Step ProcessPremium
The market is trading on speculation. Fundamentals don't matter now. Fundamentals will matter again. The Fed can print only so much money before inflation rears its ugly head. We can't continue to devalue the dollar as a matter of long-term monetary policy without consequences. Our "print first, ask questions later" monetary policy and "subsidize everything" … Continue reading Mr. Market Is Trading On Speculation. Fundamentals Will Matter Again.