Tag: Fed tapering

Real GDP Growth Remains Muted

Real GDP Growth Remains Muted

The Atlanta Fed updated its model for Real GDP ("GDPNow"). The Atlanta Fed's 3.2% Real GDP estimate as of today is down from 3.7% as of September 21st. We have previously written that real GDP growth may very well be zero percent or even negative as we believe the Federal Reserve underestimates true price inflation … Continue reading Real GDP Growth Remains Muted

A Fed Critique By Time Stamp

A Fed Critique By Time Stamp

We critique Fed Chairman Powell's recent FOMC YouTube clip comments (video below) by time stamp. 0:07 - The Fed continues to purchase Treasuries ($80 billion per month) and MBS ($40 billion per month), thereby artificially suppressing interest rates while inflating the money supply. The Fed's actions - increasing the money supply - are solely responsible … Continue reading A Fed Critique By Time Stamp

The Fed Won’t Change Its Position On Wednesday

The Fed Won’t Change Its Position On Wednesday

Powell's Fed will continue to run its ultra-loose monetary policy for as long as possible in an effort to inflate the debt away. On Wednesday Powell will say more time is needed for the economy to recover before the Fed considers tightening interest rates. Powell will talk of transitory inflation. Powell will quote May's poor … Continue reading The Fed Won’t Change Its Position On Wednesday

Labor Participation Outlook: June 2021<span class="badge-status" style="background:red">Premium</span> 

Labor Participation Outlook: June 2021Premium 

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ("BLS"), publishes the Labor Participation Rate each month. The Labor Participation Rate accurately reflects the state of labor in the United States. The same government agency also publishes the Unemployment Rate each month (due Friday June 4th). We view the latter as a Government marketing metric as it significantly … Continue reading Labor Participation Outlook: June 2021Premium