Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: Federal Government
The problem with the Biden Administration's $76 billion CHIPS Act is that the Federal Government is expert at creating damage and waste. So, what may go wrong with the CHIPS act? Price inflation. Those Trillions of Dollars of COVID stimulus checks were the very cause of price inflation. Any time a Central Bank prints money, … Continue reading Chip Bonanza Or Money Trap?
We expect the June CPI figure to come in around 9% when CPI data is released Wednesday at 8:30am ET. What do we expect for a Fed Funds Rate increase?If the CPI comes in at 8.0-8.5%, we expect that the Fed will increase the Fed Funds Rate by 75 basis points at its FOMC meeting … Continue reading CPI Release On Wednesday: Our Thoughts
The punchline is that a significant percentage of new money creation over the past year was allocated to non-productive use cases. "Helicopter" money to individuals and non-performing firms are two examples. When capital is deployed for non-productive use (acquiring cryptocurrencies for example), that capital invariably bids up prices causing asset price inflation. Conversely, recipients that … Continue reading Rewarding Non-Productive Activities with New Money Leads to Price Inflation
The Federal Government won't split Facebook into pieces much less shut it down. Facebook is too valuable to national defense. Instead, we expect Facebook to deepen ties with the Federal Government. Someday perhaps FB may become partially nationalized much like Freddie Mac. Facebook (tkr: FB), is more valuable to the Federal Government as a thriving … Continue reading Facebook Is Here To Stay
An effective recipe for crowding out innovation consists of companies taking on massive amounts of leverage coupled with a Federal Government that has a negative bias toward mergers and acquisitions. We are experiencing this phenomenon now with corporate debt & loans at approximately 56% of GDP (as of Q2, chart below) and a DOJ that … Continue reading High Debt Levels and Negative M&A Bias Are Crowding Out Innovation
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