Tag: fiscal policy

More Lines To Come With Price Controls

More Lines To Come With Price Controls

It is starting to feel like the 1970's with out of control fiscal spending, inflation and now gas lines. We only have gas lines in certain parts of the country today as local government officials exercised gas price controls during the Colonial Pipeline shutdown. We could very well see similar price control policies from the … Continue reading More Lines To Come With Price Controls

The Fed Will Not Taper In 2021. Inflation Is Not Transitory.

The Fed Will Not Taper In 2021. Inflation Is Not Transitory.

The Fed likely won't taper asset purchases this calendar year. It should, but it won't. **Purchase our Amazon Kindle book Stagflation Is Imminent: HERE We previously mentioned mid-term elections as one reason why the Fed won't take away the punch bowl. Second, the Labor Participation rate - a key economic indicator for the Fed - … Continue reading The Fed Will Not Taper In 2021. Inflation Is Not Transitory.

Interest Rates To Inch Higher?

Interest Rates To Inch Higher?

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is the second Government official in five days to mention that the U.S. economy may require interest rates to move higher so that the economy does not overheat (it overheated months ago in our view when one considers asset prices across most every asset category). Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan stated … Continue reading Interest Rates To Inch Higher?

Federal Transfer Payments To Americans Don’t Equal Economic Strength

Federal Transfer Payments To Americans Don’t Equal Economic Strength

Personal Income is on the rise not because U.S. Productivity is increasing, but because the Federal Government decided it was a good idea to print Dollars and distribute them to Americans. This does not make for a sustainably strong economy. Many of these new pandemic "entitlements" (i.e. welfare) are not going away. Mid-term elections are … Continue reading Federal Transfer Payments To Americans Don’t Equal Economic Strength

Inflation Is Here To Stay. Powell Likely Has Lost Control.

Inflation Is Here To Stay. Powell Likely Has Lost Control.

Fed Chair Powell does not understand the relationship between Federal welfare ("stimulus") programs and wage inflation. Per Fed Chair Powell's prepared remarks on Wednesday, Mr. Powell seems completely oblivious to the fact that fiscal "stimulus" programs are counterproductive to low-wage services sector employment. For example, Powell commented that he was concerned by the "level of … Continue reading Inflation Is Here To Stay. Powell Likely Has Lost Control.

Enhanced Unemployment Benefits Are Hurting Retailers

Enhanced Unemployment Benefits Are Hurting Retailers

Federal programs such as the CARES Act/ Pandemic Unemployment Assistance and other COVID-related Federal handouts are hurting retail businesses. Retail used to be a great way for young people to gain valuable sales and customer experience early in their career. Many readers will have held hourly jobs at grocery stores, restaurants and the like during … Continue reading Enhanced Unemployment Benefits Are Hurting Retailers

Yellen’s Minimum Global Corporate Tax Is A Big Deal

Yellen’s Minimum Global Corporate Tax Is A Big Deal

Treasury Secretary Yellen's minimum global corporate tax is not yet global law but soon will be. The U.S. and Western European Governments and Central Banks have marched in lock step since 2008's Financial Crisis. A decade-plus of record fiscal spending, accommodative monetary policy (a Keynesian's dream) has led to record, expanding fiscal deficits that will … Continue reading Yellen’s Minimum Global Corporate Tax Is A Big Deal

The Ugliest Chart I Have Ever Seen

The Ugliest Chart I Have Ever Seen

With the Money Supply (M1) up 358% since January 2020 (as of February 2021), there is simply zero percent probability that prices are not going higher. A 3-4x increase in M1 ought to inflate prices by a similar multiple. Most of the recent $1.9 Trillion (the actual cost will be higher), COVID spending program was … Continue reading The Ugliest Chart I Have Ever Seen

Stagflation Is Imminent<span class="badge-status" style="background:red">Premium</span> 

Stagflation Is ImminentPremium 

It is difficult to imagine a scenario in which the U.S. economy does not experience stagflation. Record debt levels, low labor participation, muted long-term Real GDP growth, persistent inflation and the fact that the Federal Reserve is limited in its options to fight inflation leads us to believe that stagflation is imminent. Our premium TEK2day … Continue reading Stagflation Is ImminentPremium