Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: fixed income
Back to the office, equities will sell off. We expect that equities will trade off when investors return to the office in January in anticipation of soft earnings. Technology stocks will be hit the hardest. Another leg down on EPS reports. When earnings are reported in January and early February, there will be another leg … Continue reading Equities Over The Next 2-3 Months
The Fed will continue to hike interest rates for the foreseeable future. Macroeconomic and geopolitical risks are increasing. Therefore, yields can only move in one direction (Up), but this story won't have a happy ending like the Pixar movie of the same name. That is good news for high yield investors, good news for savers … Continue reading Yields Will March Higher
Could the NASDAQ re-test the COVID lows of March 2020 when it sat around 6,900? Yes. That would require a prolonged recession (which we expect) AND The Fed not restarting its ultra-dovish monetary policy of Quantitative Easing combined with a near zero Fed Funds Rate. Who knows how the Fed will behave in 2H 2023 … Continue reading The NASDAQ Could Re-Test COVID Lows & The Rise of High Yield
It appears we were correct several weeks ago when we wrote that the Fed will maintain elevated interest rates for longer than markets expect. What are the repercussions for business? A persistently higher interest rate environment will expose hidden zombie companies much like the dry Paluxy River bed in Texas recently exposed dinosaur tracks. However, … Continue reading Higher Interest Rates & Growth
In the pursuit of curbing price inflation Fed Chair Powell will be willing to break some glass... Speculative asset classes such as crypto, rare automobiles, fine art: YES. This has already happened to a degree, especially as it relates to crypto currencies and publicly-traded companies that have exposure to crypto such as Coinbase (COIN). There … Continue reading In Case Of Emergency Break Glass
TEK2day Spotlights are sponsored reports that focus on a particular industry and/or technologies. M&A Activity & Low Interest Rates, Product & Process Innovation and Digital Transformation & Advanced Automation are some of the catalysts driving change within the global insurance industry. Click HERE to access the full report. Reach us at info@tek2day.com with any questions.
The punchline is that COVID-19 has had a dramatic and lasting negative impact on public transportation as measured by our analysis of Apple Maps data. Below we provide examples of some of America's largest cities and the trends around driving, walking and public transportation. It's probably not a good idea to go long muni bonds. … Continue reading COVID’s Lasting Impact On Mobility
Equity funds continue to experience fund outflows as taxable bond funds enjoy fund inflows. (see table & chart below). A modicum of sanity has crept into the equity markets insofar as Technology names are concerned. High multiple growth names that were driven primarily by speculation and momentum have finally started to pull back over the … Continue reading Equities Continue to Experience Fund Outflows as Technology Stocks Slide
Adobe (ADBE), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Broadcom (AVGO), Microsoft (MSFT) and Oracle (ORCL) were among the Technology companies included in the Fed's July 10th SMCCF disclosure. The Fed has purchased $137 million par value of Technology company fixed income securities through June 26th or approximately 9% of a total par value of approximately $1.5 billion. … Continue reading Fed Disclosure: Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility Includes Amazon, Apple, Microsoft & More
Private markets are no longer primarily determined by the actions of private buyers and sellers. The State now controls private markets as the primary mover. Guessing the timing, scale and duration of massive fiscal and monetary programs has superseded if not largely replaced fundamental analysis. That's not to say that fundamentals do not matter, but … Continue reading State-Led Capitalism
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