Our Hypothesis: Founder CEOs Will Outperform Over the Long-Term
We believe that founder CEOs will generally outperform non-founder peer group CEOs as well as broader benchmarks over the long-term. We believe this to be true both in terms of stock market returns as well as operating performance as measured by traditional financial measures such as Cash ROIC, ROE, ROA and Economic Value Added.
We recently created the CEORater Technology Founder CEO Index in part to help test our hypothesis. Over time we plan to operationalize the index to where investors may use it as an investment vehicle (stay tuned).
Founder CEOs tend to take a long-term view of the companies they created (their children). Where hired CEOs focus on the current quarter and year, many founder CEOs want their respective companies to thrive in perpetuity.
Legacy Matters to Founder CEOs
It’s about legacy for founder CEOs:
It’s why Jeff Bezos (AMZN) thinks about 50 year increments as opposed to quarterly increments;
It’s why Reed Hastings (NFLX) pushed OTT, original content and international investment when many investors wanted a U.S.-focused DVD distribution company;
It’s why Bill Stone (SSNC) has built one of largest FinTech companies during a period when much of the Capital Markets industry has become commoditized.
We reviewed Total Stock Returns over the January 3rd 2017 – February 8th 2018 period:
We wanted to see how the CEORater Technology Founder CEO Index would fare if we were to market cap weight the components (review component details here). Therefore we compared our CEORater Index to the S&P 500 Information Technology Index (Ticker: S5INFT). We compared total stock returns for each for the period January 3rd 2017 – January 22nd 2018:
The market cap weighted total stock return for the CEORater Technology Founder CEO Index over the measured period was 63.72%.
These two most recent TEK2day posts are just the beginning of our analysis in an effort to test our hypothesis that Technology companies led by founder CEOs will in the aggregate outperform peer group companies led by non-founders.