Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
The metaverse is a fancy term for AR and VR technologies. Apple is an AR/VR laggard, but that is likely to change in Q1 2023 as Apple rolls out its AR/VR headset. Microsoft has played in the AR/VR space for a few years. Both AAPL and MSFT have stronger balance sheets to leverage across AR/VR … Continue reading Apple & Microsoft Will Impede META’s Recovery
The WSJ reports that headcount cuts are coming to META, perhaps on Wednesday of this week. META's R&D expense grew by 45% y-o-y in the September quarter even as Revenue declined by almost 5%. G&A grew by 15% and Sales & Marketing grew by 6%. Given that R&D now represents 33% of Revenue (as compared … Continue reading Where META May Reduce Headcount
META will remain a broken company until Zuckerberg allocates the same passion toward repairing the core business as he has allocated toward building the metaverse. However, I have never met an entrepreneur that felt equally passionate about a shiny new object AND a repair job. Therein lies the rub. Zuckerberg's interests have clearly evolved. META's … Continue reading META Ought To Split In Two
Below are two paragraphs from META's earnings release. The language is from the "CFO Commentary" section and is symptomatic of a company that is operationally lax. It may be too late for META to find religion around operational excellence. Operational efficiency is a skill set that is developed over years, it is not a cost-cutting … Continue reading Meta Is Operationally Reactive
As a follow-up to our September 30th article about META and the UFC working together to broadcast fights in the metaverse, we got our first taste on Friday night as to what a mixed reality MMA fight looks like. Technically it was the LFA MMA league which was broadcast on the UFC's proprietary Fight Pass … Continue reading Live Sports In the Metaverse
Meta Platforms (META) would provide the UFC an on-ramp to the metaverse. The UFC would provide META with valuable global content that could both serve as grist for META's virtual reality mill and provide META with a competitive edge in the content wars versus TikTok, Apple (AAPL), Amazon/Prime Video/Twitch (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Google/YouTube (GOOG), Microsoft/Xbox … Continue reading META & The UFC?
Whether of not META shares are inexpensive depends upon what you believe 2023 and 2024 estimates will look like. We believe the global macro environment will soften for the remainder of this year and next and that META's numbers over the next few quarters will reflect this difficult macro demand environment. META is in the … Continue reading Is META Cheap?
Meta Platforms (META), has serious challenges in front of it: Apple's permission-based Ad tracking has hit META and other iOS app developers hard. Apple's iOS change is the primary reason why META's average price per Ad dropped 14% in the June quarter. This reality is not going away and META would be smart to find … Continue reading The Metaverse Is The Least of META’s Problems
The Metaverse becoming reality is at least a decade away if not 20-25 years away. The Metaverse as we imagine it is one with rich graphics, hundreds of millions of users and billions of online transactions. There are two primary obstacles preventing this reality: The Metaverse suffers from poor graphics. Content companies including Meta Platforms/Facebook … Continue reading The Metaverse Is At Least A Decade Away