Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Tag: MSFT
Meta Platforms (META), has serious challenges in front of it: Apple's permission-based Ad tracking has hit META and other iOS app developers hard. Apple's iOS change is the primary reason why META's average price per Ad dropped 14% in the June quarter. This reality is not going away and META would be smart to find … Continue reading The Metaverse Is The Least of META’s Problems
The Metaverse becoming reality is at least a decade away if not 20-25 years away. The Metaverse as we imagine it is one with rich graphics, hundreds of millions of users and billions of online transactions. There are two primary obstacles preventing this reality: The Metaverse suffers from poor graphics. Content companies including Meta Platforms/Facebook … Continue reading The Metaverse Is At Least A Decade Away
Below are several areas where we would expect softness to creep into Microsoft's business - primarily in the back half of the calendar year (recall that MSFT is on a June 30 fiscal year end). MSFT reports today after the close. Office 365 Commercial revenue: We would expect seat revenue growth to soften in 2H … Continue reading MSFT – What To Look For Today
As growth slows and interest rates climb, management teams will command a greater weighting in investors' due diligence processes as compared to the 2009-2022 period of ultra-low interest rates and Quantitative Easing ("QE"). While it is too early to call peak inflation and far too early to talk about a Fed pivot, it is never … Continue reading Management Teams Will Matter More To Investors
It is only logical that the leading smartphone company (Apple) and the leading AI company (Google) are increasingly designing more of their own silicon which is optimized for each company's respective products and services. Tickers mentioned: AAPL, AMZN, AVGO, GOOG, INTC, QCOM, SWKS Think of the iPhone and Google's Pixel phone. Every feature, every application, … Continue reading Platform Companies Will Increasingly Design Proprietary Silicon
Broadcom agrees to acquire VMware for $61 billion As we wrote previously, we believe this acquisition is a strategic blunder on the part of Broadcom (AVGO). Broadcom's acquisition of VMware (VMW) is essentially a "bet the company" type of acquisition given the amount of purchase consideration ($61 billion) and also given the fact that the … Continue reading Broadcom Agrees To Acquire VMware
Last year Broadcom pursued an acquisition of SAS Institute (private) before SAS Co-founder and CEO Jim Goodnight withdrew. Now, the WSJ reports that Broadcom (AVGO) is working to acquire private cloud and infrastructure software provider VMware (VMW). While the SAS pursuit was bold and creative, the prospective VMW acquisition is bold, risky and lacks creativity. … Continue reading Bold Broadcom Pursues VMware
We have seen this movie before. Founder CEO hands the reins to a successor. The company stumbles. Founder returns as CEO. We expect this scenario to play out over the next 24 months at Netflix. Founder Reed Hastings will return after Ted Sarandos has had a brief opportunity to right the ship. It is game … Continue reading What’s Next For Netflix?
The effect of increased competition on Netflix (NFLX), manifested itself in a net subscriber loss for the first time in 10 years. The net subscriber loss manifested itself approximately one year later than we thought it would. Competition has never been greater on the streaming content side of the media world with Disney (DIS), Apple … Continue reading Further Media Consolidation Is Coming
Small cap equities and international equities are generally good places for investors to begin their work of finding undervalued companies. In this age of ultra-low interest rates and overvalued assets it makes sense for public company investors to look for value in areas of the market that receive less investor attention than sectors that garner … Continue reading For Stock Returns, Look Where Others Are Not
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