Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
Tonight after the close Microsoft (MSFT) made our case for us, specifically that the uncertain macro environment is causing corporate buyers to take a cautious approach to spending. We told you that management teams would feature the word "cautious" during the December '22 earnings calls and Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella did just that in the … Continue reading Microsoft Made Our Case For Us
The NASDAQ Composite has had a nice little run, up more than 9% year-to-date. However, I would exercise caution ahead of Tech earnings and the Fed's January 31st / February 1st FOMC meeting. We have written on numerous occasions that we expect management teams to take a conservative approach to 2023 Revenue and EPS guidance. … Continue reading Technology Stocks Are Not Yet In The Clear
I am not buying the talk that Bob Iger's mission is to identify his successor at Disney (DIS). A sale will most likely be Iger's final act as Disney CEO. Iger already whiffed once with his selection of Bob Chapek as his successor. Iger will not make the same mistake twice. Rather than name a … Continue reading Bob Iger’s Mission? Sell Disney.
I would not be surprised to see Salesforce (CRM) and Oracle (ORCL) combine in 2023 or 2024. A Salesforce, Oracle deal used to be rumored back around the time of CRM's 2004 IPO which raised $110 million. At that time Oracle Co-Founder & CEO Larry Ellison was pushing hard on building ORCL's Application layer (largely … Continue reading Oracle + Salesforce
AWS is Amazon's (AMZN) most profitable business unit (26% operating margin in the September quarter), and is subsidizing other Amazon business units. While AWS allocates capital to other AMZN business units, competing cloud platforms Azure and Google Cloud are capital allocation recipients. While AWS touts its new, high-end Graviton chips - these chips will compete … Continue reading AWS vs. Azure vs. Google Cloud
The metaverse is a fancy term for AR and VR technologies. Apple is an AR/VR laggard, but that is likely to change in Q1 2023 as Apple rolls out its AR/VR headset. Microsoft has played in the AR/VR space for a few years. Both AAPL and MSFT have stronger balance sheets to leverage across AR/VR … Continue reading Apple & Microsoft Will Impede META’s Recovery
When you invest in a company (public or private), you're betting on the CEO and management team, not a product or service. A CEO can torpedo or lift a company's prospects overnight. Microsoft under former CEO Steve Ballmer and current CEO Satya Nadella underscores the importance of the CEO. Ballmer was a Marketing exec that … Continue reading Zuckerberg & The Metaverse Underscore Why CEOs & Management Teams Matter
Some buzzwords from MSFT's financial results prepared remarks. Currency: MSFT of course took a currency hit. The word "currency" was used 54 times in the prepared remarks. Revenue took a 5% currency hit while Operating Expenses benefited by 3%. MSFT's outlook anticipates a 5% Revenue hit and 3% OpEx benefit in Q2 and FY'23. The … Continue reading Microsoft EPS Wordplay