When compared to Netflix and Disney+, Amazon Prime is the most durable revenue stream of the three. We cover Prime's attributes and where we believe leverage points exist, including Amazon's strategic investment in "COVID-proofing" its distribution and customer-facing operations. There could be an AWS-like opportunity if Amazon decides to commercialize its COVID response. Part I … Continue reading Pt. I: Amazon Prime vs. Netflix & Disney+. Pt. II: Is Amazon Sitting On AWS 2.0?
We ran a Natural Language Processing ("NLP")-based analysis of earnings calls from this week. We captured keywords and phrases from 23 earnings calls. Our report is sorted alphabetically by ticker symbol. Access the free report HERE. This analysis may be customized to capture certain keywords and phrases for any text-based document. https://soundcloud.com/ceorater
There is insight to be gleaned from recent earnings conference calls. We have highlighted a few from this past week (below). Many companies assume a deterioration in business from Q1 to Q2 and a potential recovery beginning in Q3. A majority of companies did not provide formal Q2 nor calendar 2020 guidance (access our list … Continue reading It Is A Mistake To “Look Through” Q2 and 2020 Earnings
Disney's Parks business is preventing the "Content" side from realizing its full valuation potential. Look no further than Netflix as a proxy. Disney's (tkr: DIS), "Content" business is significant. "Parks" is large enough to stand on its own. A simple run rate calculation on Disney's December quarter "Content" Operating Income figure of $1.9 billion implies … Continue reading Disney Ought to Spin Off the Parks Business
AT&T's acquisition of Time Warner seemed like a good idea at the time. That is no longer true. Tickers mentioned: AAPL, AMZN, CMCSA, DIS, GOOG, NFLX, T, VZ AT&T's $85 billion acquisition of Time Warner seemed like a good idea when it was first kicked around a few years ago. AT&T would differentiate its fiber … Continue reading AT&T Should Sell WarnerMedia
The asset management game is all about Assets Under Management ("AUM"). The entertainment game is all about "IP". By the way, Bob Iger likes Bond. Asset Management & Entertainment Share a Hunger for Assets Over the past decade asset managers have shifted away from active management and alpha generation in favor of index funds and … Continue reading BlackRock and Disney Have This in Common…
Episodic TV carries a superior risk/reward compared to feature films. The streaming wars featuring Disney (tkr: DIS), Netflix (tkr: NFLX), Apple (tkr: AAPL), Amazon (tkr: AMZN), AT&T (tkr: T), and others will be won by the content producers that capture the most subscribers over a measurable period of time. Questions that content producers must answer … Continue reading Episodic Television Is the Key to Winning the Streaming Wars
We are working on a project that has me thinking about the "long tail". For those who took Statistics you may recall that the long tail is the portion of the distribution where occurrences appear far away from the distribution's center. A long tail business strategy is one where the service provider makes hard to … Continue reading The Long Tail Will Differentiate You
The Death of Netflix and the Rise of DisneyPlus We have been negative on Netflix for years, first publishing our disdain for the expensive middle man in December 2017. We have always viewed Disney as the cream of the crop in the original content world - having the best content portfolio across legacy Disney characters, … Continue reading The Death of Netflix
Disney May Be the New King of the Content Jungle. Disney+ Coming to A Screen Near You in November. We've previously written in these pages that "Content Is King". Similarly, back in 2017 we posited that "Netflix Loses in A Disney Fox Deal". Disney - owner of the world's best content library - was in … Continue reading Disney – New King of the Jungle?