As I think about Technology companies in the back half of 2023 and 2024, pricing power has to erode at some point. For companies such as Google, subscription price increases this calendar year have far outpaced revenue growth (higher prices, fewer unit sales). I imagine that many companies that exercised pricing power in 2021, 2022 … Continue reading Pricing Power in 2H 2023 and 2024
It is a joke that we are in December and Snowflake (SNOW) did not publish a FY 2024/calendar year 2023 outlook: https://investors.snowflake.com/events-and-presentations/default.aspx SNOW remains overvalued at about 15x calendar 2023 Revenue (assumes CY'23 Revenue of $3 billion). That will change next year. It is not surprising that Bret Taylor is no longer Salesforce (CRM), Co-CEO … Continue reading Snowflake & Salesforce: Outlooks & Leadership
Tickers mentioned: AAPL, AVGO, MSFT, SAP, SNOW My personal view was that SAS founder Jim Goodnight would sell his Analytics firm to Snowflake (tkr: SNOW), Microsoft (tkr: MSFT) or SAP (tkr: SAP). SAS is known for its employee-friendly culture. Now that the WSJ has reported that Broadcom (tkr: AVGO) is moving to acquire SAS, it … Continue reading Broadcom to Acquire SAS?
The ETF giant missed an opportunity years ago to build its version of the App Store for Capital Markets-related financial technology. BlackRock (tkr: BLK), announced a partnership with Snowflake (tkr: SNOW), earlier this week. Per the partnership BlackRock will introduce Aladdin Data Cloud where clients may access pre-defined Aladdin data sets, proprietary client data and … Continue reading BlackRock’s Missed Cloud Opportunity
We highlight the example of Amazon's AWS unit leveraging Snowflake - a competitor and partner - to drive AWS revenue. Tickers mentioned: AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, SNOW. Snowflake makes a living providing cloud-based Data & Analytics tools to data scientists and analysts. Snowflake's offerings sit on top of AWS, Azure and GCP. Certain of its offerings … Continue reading Leveraging Competitors To Drive Your Revenue
Usage-based pricing models enable customers to better understand cost drivers of a given product or service. In addition, Technology vendors may capture revenue lift from usage-based pricing that otherwise may be left on the table under a traditional tiered fee or flat fee pricing model. Tickers mentioned: GOOG, SNOW The tiered subscription pricing model favored … Continue reading Usage-Based Pricing Models Can Be A Win-Win for Customers and Vendors
Snowflake and Tesla are the poster children for irrational valuations and outsized CEO compensation packages. Investors - or more accurately "speculators" - value Analytics company Snowflake (tkr: SNOW) at 183x Revenue. That's right, not 183x depressed earnings. 183x revenue. ($110 billion Market Value on approximately $600 million of Revenue). Speculators value Snowflake 9x more than … Continue reading Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation
The lofty valuations enjoyed by many Technology companies won't last forever. Whether it be Biden corporate tax increases (we will know more after January 5th), the Fed allowing interest rates to tick higher (likely not in 2021), or some other event, there is more downside risk than upside opportunity for many richly valued Technology companies. … Continue reading Would Snowflake Leverage Its Currency to Acquire SAS?
We recently wrote about the "Speculation Era" in Tech stocks. It doesn't have to be this way. Institutional investors don't have a gun to their heads forcing them to chase performance in companies such as TSLA and SNOW. Yet many are doing just that, throwing time-tested investment principles out the window. Many justify their outrageously … Continue reading The Valuation Circus Is In Town
Given Snowflake's rich valuation, it may be time for Alphabet, Amazon and Microsoft to spin-off GCP, AWS and Azure. Snowflake priced its IPO yesterday and the stock closed up 112% to $253.93 for a valuation of approximately $70 billion. Assuming calendar year 2020 revenue of $500 million implies a MV/Revenue multiple of 140x. The combination … Continue reading Time to Spin-Off AWS, Azure and GCP