Perhaps that recommendation is a bit harsh and unexpected coming from me, someone who is a staunch advocate of strategic M&A. However, the fact is that interest rates are historically low and valuations will remain historically high until such time as interest rates begin to rise. As we recently wrote, equity valuations have the looming … Continue reading Put Your Strategic M&A Team On Ice
We have warned for months (most recently in late March), that the SPAC issuances of the past year-plus were a bubble waiting to burst. The SEC issued accounting guidance on April 12th which essentially classifies warrants issued as part of a SPAC as liabilities rather than as equity instruments. This may lead to a tidal … Continue reading The SPAC Bubble Has Burst. We Have Yet To See The Worst.
If you believe that the Federal Government is an efficient capital allocator you will love Biden's "infrastructure" spending program. Similarly, if you are a "GreenTech" executive or entrepreneur, this massive spending program is shaping up to provide a long-term tail wind. Government officials will have trillions of newly printed capital to play with. Slim chance … Continue reading A Breakdown of Biden’s $2.3 Trillion Green New Deal
SPACs simply are not investor-friendly. Never mind that SPAC sponsors collect a 20% fee. Most of the 2020-2021 SPAC class consists of CEOs that are not public market-ready nor are their companies. Most SPAC companies are venture-stage companies masquerading as seasoned public companies. Many are pre-revenue or at the early stages of revenue generation (profits … Continue reading Investors Will Be Left Holding The Bag When The SPAC Party Ends
The SPACs just keep coming. EV manufacturer Lucid Motors plans to IPO via Michael Klein's Churchill Capital. Zero revenue and a $24 billion proforma valuation. I find it fascinating that "sober" investors such as Fidelity and BlackRock participate in these bubble deals. Link HERE. Another SPAC listing will take place when Apex Clearing completes its … Continue reading SPAC-Mania, Bitcoin and The Fed
Hopefully prospective SEC Chairman Gary Gensler will work to rein in the frothy activity that has occurred in the capital markets over the past decade. These range from slap on the wrist fines (large banks in particular), which amount to nothing more than a Cost of Goods Sold charge, to SPACs to more recently social … Continue reading The Social Media-Enabled Pump and Dump
Easy credit, lofty equity valuations and a weak economy are all pointing to investors getting burned. The 2020 SPAC frenzy is further evidence of market excess. Billy Beane the baseball GM is a partner in a SPAC that will pursue SportsTech acquisitions. Former hedge fund managers, former VC's, even former operators who were not known … Continue reading The SPAC Bubble Is Further Evidence of A Market Bubble
SPACs are popular at the moment accounting for approximately 38% of IPO activity through May. Pershing Square filed for the largest SPAC on record earlier this week with its $3 billion Pershing Square Tontine Holdings filing. SPAC filings of Pershing Square's size suggest more competition for private equity firms may be forthcoming. https://youtu.be/1U2PxBGetqw https://soundcloud.com/ceorater