Tag: speculation

NASDAQ: Further To Fall

NASDAQ: Further To Fall

Some months ago we stated that the NASDAQ Composite had 40-50% downside. On March 8th we said another 20-30% downside. This implies a NASDAQ Composite of around 9,000. Thus, we have further to fall. Interest Rates: Rates are going higher regardless of what the Fed does (other than more QE of course). Economy: There will … Continue reading NASDAQ: Further To Fall

Rewarding Non-Productive Activities with New Money Leads to Price Inflation

Rewarding Non-Productive Activities with New Money Leads to Price Inflation

The punchline is that a significant percentage of new money creation over the past year was allocated to non-productive use cases. "Helicopter" money to individuals and non-performing firms are two examples. When capital is deployed for non-productive use (acquiring cryptocurrencies for example), that capital invariably bids up prices causing asset price inflation. Conversely, recipients that … Continue reading Rewarding Non-Productive Activities with New Money Leads to Price Inflation

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Snowflake and Tesla are the poster children for irrational valuations and outsized CEO compensation packages. Investors - or more accurately "speculators" - value Analytics company Snowflake (tkr: SNOW) at 183x Revenue. That's right, not 183x depressed earnings. 183x revenue. ($110 billion Market Value on approximately $600 million of Revenue). Speculators value Snowflake 9x more than … Continue reading Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation