Tag: Stagflation Is Imminent

Google Search Trends: Stagflation

Google Search Trends: Stagflation

The word "stagflation" is at peak interest at the moment as measured over the most recent 12-month period using Google Trends to calculate search interest. We have beat the drum on stagflation for the past year and some on Wall Street have picked up the baton in recent days. Below we have created a chart … Continue reading Google Search Trends: Stagflation

How The CPI’s Fuzzy Math Understates Inflation

How The CPI’s Fuzzy Math Understates Inflation

The CPI data category "Owners' Equivalent Rent" ("OER"), uses data derived from surveys of homeowners in select markets rather than real world data. This technique allows the BLS and the Federal Reserve to understate price inflation. OER understates CPI by 1% or more. September's 5.4% CPI increase was understated by at least 1% per our … Continue reading How The CPI’s Fuzzy Math Understates Inflation

It Is Beginning To Look Like Stagflation

It Is Beginning To Look Like Stagflation

The Atlanta Fed's real GDP estimate of 3.7% is well below inflation as measured by the Fed (CPI of 5.4%) and well below any real world price inflation measure. We do not subscribe to the Fed's theory that price inflation is transitory. Our view is that price inflation will grow from here. If real GDP … Continue reading It Is Beginning To Look Like Stagflation

Instagram, Stagflation, EVs and More Cyberattacks

Instagram, Stagflation, EVs and More Cyberattacks

Instagram is on to APIs. Biden's budget implies stagflation. EV poster child Elon Musk will benefit from Biden's spending plan beginning in 2023. Ransomware attacks continue to expose the fragility of our legacy technology systems. Last month we wrote about API strategy. Instagram (tkr: FB), recently opened its platform via APIs to enable Instagram messages … Continue reading Instagram, Stagflation, EVs and More Cyberattacks

Jerome Powell: Inflator-in-Chief

Jerome Powell: Inflator-in-Chief

"Inflation" to lead headlines again when CPI data is reported. Real-world price appreciation is well ahead of the Fed's 2% target. If last month was any indication the term "inflation" will dominate market-related headlines when May CPI data is released on Thursday June 10th at 8:30am ET (See Google Trends chart below for search term … Continue reading Jerome Powell: Inflator-in-Chief