A contested election will likely translate to increased market volatility and downside risk for equities. The longer the election resolution process, the greater the volatility and downside risk. A potential capital gains tax increase could lead to selling before year-end. SCOTUS justice Samuel Alito left the door open for President Trump initiated litigation with his … Continue reading What Does A Contested Election Mean for Markets?
This next round of debt-funded stimulus will ensure that the U.S. economy look much like Japan's at least for the next decade if not the next 20-30 years. The fiscal side of the ledger is a deficit-promoting mess and the monetary side is complicit by way of subsidizing the debt. Fed official Neel Kashkari believes … Continue reading More Debt-Funded “Stimulus” Ensures Near Zero Real GDP Growth
Last week we wrote that higher tax rates and advanced automation (AI/machine learning) are coming. Private Equity - especially long duration funds - will be a big winner should Biden win the Presidency as investors will work to shield assets from higher capital gains taxes. The outline below was prepared by TaxFoundation.org. Click the image … Continue reading Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency
Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming
Count TEK2day in the group that is not in favor of quantitative easing after having lived through the 2008 QE period. We favor a reduction of federal corporate and personal income tax rates. In fact, take income tax rates to zero. Institute a "pay-as-you-go" national Sales tax on finished goods and services for both corporations … Continue reading Take Personal and Corporate Income Tax Rates to Zero