A contested election will likely translate to increased market volatility and downside risk for equities. The longer the election resolution process, the greater the volatility and downside risk. A potential capital gains tax increase could lead to selling before year-end. SCOTUS justice Samuel Alito left the door open for President Trump initiated litigation with his … Continue reading What Does A Contested Election Mean for Markets?
Polling should show a Biden lead going into Tuesday's general election given that Democrats have historically participated in early voting in significantly larger numbers than have Republicans. Too Close To Call We believe that Tuesday's election between two fiscally irresponsible parties will be closer than many voters anticipate. Various polls show an early lead for … Continue reading Tuesday’s Election Will Be Closer Than What Polls Show
Technology companies are accelerating share repurchase activity in the face of economic uncertainty and record high share prices. This runs counter to our preference which is to invest for long-term growth. Apple (AAPL) spent $72 billion on share repurchases in the fiscal year ended September 30th, up from $67 billion last year. AAPL cash flows. … Continue reading Share Repurchase Activity Is Accelerating at The Expense of Investing for Growth
Credit spreads will widen in our view primarily driven by job losses and increases in the cost of goods and services. There is downward pressure on jobs as we usher in the fall season. Seasonal summer jobs essentially work their way to zero from Labor Day to Columbus Day. Government jobs around the U.S. Census … Continue reading Credit Spreads Will Widen as Job Losses Mount and Supply-Side Costs Increase
Over the past year Moderna (ticker: MRNA) insiders have sold equity worth approximately $292 million as of July 27th 2020. This includes CEO Stéphane Bancel whom has sold equity worth approximately $33 million and Chief Medical Officer Tal Zaks whom has sold equity worth approximately $55 million over the same period. MRNA insider sales. Click … Continue reading Moderna Insider Sales Raise Corporate Governance Flags
Last week we wrote that higher tax rates and advanced automation (AI/machine learning) are coming. Private Equity - especially long duration funds - will be a big winner should Biden win the Presidency as investors will work to shield assets from higher capital gains taxes. The outline below was prepared by TaxFoundation.org. Click the image … Continue reading Private Equity Stands To Benefit From A Biden Presidency