Tag: TSLA

Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

There is a difference between truly Autonomous Vehicles - those qualified to operate without a driver - and ancillary technologies such as driver assist. Below we provide detail about where various Auto OEMs are in their Autonomous evolution as measured by Autonomous Vehicle permits held in the state of California. (For those who receive our … Continue reading Autonomous Vehicle Permits in CA

Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

Apple CEO in-waiting Jeff Williams is a Tim Cook clone. We argue that Apple's next Chief Executive ought to be a risk-taking, product-focused CEO that conducts him/herself with a sense of urgency to drive Product & Services growth. Another caretaker CEO would be less than optimal. Companies mentioned: Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Cerner … Continue reading Apple’s Next CEO Ought To Be An Innovator

When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

When in a bubble there's no telling when it may end. Tesla is certainly one of 2020's bubble companies. The more TSLA shares climb the more investors chase, largely motivated by fear of missing out. Is Tesla disrupting the auto industry? Sure. The question is how much do you pay for a disruptor when much … Continue reading When Investors Want To Believe They’ll Believe

Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

From time to time we have written about CEO Personality and its impact on corporate operations and stock returns. Earlier this week we spoke with Dr. Joseph Harrison of TCU. Dr. Harrison and his team recently performed an Advanced Analytics exercise that analyzed 2,880 CEOs regarding their personality traits and related company stock returns. Click … Continue reading Cult of Personality – A Deep Dive On CEO Personality Research

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

Snowflake and Tesla are the poster children for irrational valuations and outsized CEO compensation packages. Investors - or more accurately "speculators" - value Analytics company Snowflake (tkr: SNOW) at 183x Revenue. That's right, not 183x depressed earnings. 183x revenue. ($110 billion Market Value on approximately $600 million of Revenue). Speculators value Snowflake 9x more than … Continue reading Nosebleed Technology Stock Valuations & CEO Compensation

There Is Only One Elon Musk

There Is Only One Elon Musk

The "Pretender" auto companies will likely fail because they don't have Elon Musk. While we have been critical of Tesla's corporate governance, there is no denying Elon Musk's persistence. Musk's level of persistence is rare. It is highly unlikely that the Pretenders (NKLA, NIO, RIDE, WKHS) have an Elon Musk among their senior ranks. The … Continue reading There Is Only One Elon Musk

The Electric Vehicle Bubble

The Electric Vehicle Bubble

The Electric Vehicle ("EV") valuation bubble is one of many asset bubbles enabled by dovish fiscal and monetary policy and pursued by speculators (both retail traders AND large asset managers such as Fidelity). The EV bubble seems to be largely driven by the presence of a large total addressable market ("TAM") regardless of whether it … Continue reading The Electric Vehicle Bubble

The Valuation Circus Is In Town

The Valuation Circus Is In Town

We recently wrote about the "Speculation Era" in Tech stocks. It doesn't have to be this way. Institutional investors don't have a gun to their heads forcing them to chase performance in companies such as TSLA and SNOW. Yet many are doing just that, throwing time-tested investment principles out the window. Many justify their outrageously … Continue reading The Valuation Circus Is In Town

Questionable M&A Strategy (Oracle) and Due Diligence (GM)

Questionable M&A Strategy (Oracle) and Due Diligence (GM)

Two head-scratching Technology deals. Oracle's TikTok deal appears to be smoke and mirrors while GM's due diligence on its Nikola deal appears to be surface-level at best. Both wreak of desperation. Oracle's TikTok deal is high on sizzle, low on substance. Assuming the Oracle/TikTok deal receives U.S. government approval and ultimately closes (we are not … Continue reading Questionable M&A Strategy (Oracle) and Due Diligence (GM)

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

The Tech Stock Speculation Era

When it comes to Technology stocks we are firmly in the Speculation Era. It is likely to stay that way for the near-term. October earnings calls may provide a bump in the road. Looming corporate tax increases will likely put an end to the bubble. The combination of Trump tax cuts and the recent fiscal … Continue reading The Tech Stock Speculation Era