Tag: valuations

NASDAQ: Further To Fall

NASDAQ: Further To Fall

Some months ago we stated that the NASDAQ Composite had 40-50% downside. On March 8th we said another 20-30% downside. This implies a NASDAQ Composite of around 9,000. Thus, we have further to fall. Interest Rates: Rates are going higher regardless of what the Fed does (other than more QE of course). Economy: There will … Continue reading NASDAQ: Further To Fall

Put Your Strategic M&A Team On Ice

Put Your Strategic M&A Team On Ice

Perhaps that recommendation is a bit harsh and unexpected coming from me, someone who is a staunch advocate of strategic M&A. However, the fact is that interest rates are historically low and valuations will remain historically high until such time as interest rates begin to rise. As we recently wrote, equity valuations have the looming … Continue reading Put Your Strategic M&A Team On Ice

A Corporate Tax Hike Will Be A Double Whammy On Valuations

A Corporate Tax Hike Will Be A Double Whammy On Valuations

Consider the Fintech and Information Services sector. Depending upon how you define it, the sector trades at approximately 30x Operating Cash Flow ("OCF"). If Company X generates $1 billion in Operating Cash Flow today, the Net Income input will have been taxed at 28% under Biden's proposal vs. the current 21% Federal corporate income tax … Continue reading A Corporate Tax Hike Will Be A Double Whammy On Valuations

Rising Yields Will Slow M&A Activity

Rising Yields Will Slow M&A Activity

Rising yields will slow debt-funded M&A activity. We expect the pace of Technology M&A to slow as companies review M&A pipelines and landscapes, alternative M&A deal structures and alternative capital allocation choices in the face of rising Treasury yields. Technology valuations are near an all-time high. A fresh $1.9 Trillion print could send equity valuations … Continue reading Rising Yields Will Slow M&A Activity

Markets Are Poised To Grind Lower

Markets Are Poised To Grind Lower

It is going to take several years for the U.S. economy to recover back to 2019 levels. 2019 is a low bar in our view as that economy - much like the present one - was debt-fueled, deficit-ridden and plagued by artificially low interest rates. These factors in the aggregate have stymied sustainable, real economic … Continue reading Markets Are Poised To Grind Lower