The biggest fight in combat sports history (if it happens) would be Mark "ballot box stuffer" Zuckerberg vs. Elon "the Doge" Musk. UFC President (UFC is a unit of Endeavor, EDR), Dana White wishes to promote the potential MMA contest. Zuck and Musk have traded barbs regarding a potential contest for days. Meta is (or … Continue reading Musk vs. Zuck
META shares are rich, especially when one considers the prospect of anemic revenue growth. Where will META's future operating leverage come from? This is supposedly META's cost-cutting year (although I believe they have more fat to cut). If 2023 is in fact META's cost cutting year, that implies that future operating leverage will primarily come … Continue reading META Shares Are Rich
It feels like META gave these poor performance reviews in order to not get crosswise with California employment law ahead of more planned employee terminations. My view is that META will never find its way back in terms of making Facebook and Instagram the "destination" platforms they once were. Facebook lacks a product identity. Instagram … Continue reading META Is Lost
Analysts estimate that META will grow revenues in 2023 over 2022. However, the estimates I see imply that revenue growth will be back-end loaded. We know how that usually ends. I see META struggling to generate year-over-year Revenue growth and expect for 2023 to be a down Revenue year. Zuckerberg is not an Operator. META's … Continue reading META: Where Will Growth Come From?
The WSJ reports that headcount cuts are coming to META, perhaps on Wednesday of this week. META's R&D expense grew by 45% y-o-y in the September quarter even as Revenue declined by almost 5%. G&A grew by 15% and Sales & Marketing grew by 6%. Given that R&D now represents 33% of Revenue (as compared … Continue reading Where META May Reduce Headcount
Whether of not META shares are inexpensive depends upon what you believe 2023 and 2024 estimates will look like. We believe the global macro environment will soften for the remainder of this year and next and that META's numbers over the next few quarters will reflect this difficult macro demand environment. META is in the … Continue reading Is META Cheap?
In short, greater revenue potential, greater accountability and greater risk of expense overruns: Greater revenue potential: These AI investments will likely focus on driving product usage as well as tracking and predicting user behavior for both new and existing products. Better products mean more usage, more usage typically means more Ad revenue for advertising revenue-driven … Continue reading What Does It Mean For Meta To Decentralize AI?
Facebook needs to build a bridge between its present product portfolio and a Metaverse-centric future. iOS users began to opt out of iOS app tracking when iOS 14.5 was released in April 2021 as part of Apple's App Tracking Transparency policy. iPhone, iPad, and Apple TV apps are required to request users' permission to track … Continue reading Between Here and The Metaverse
With Michael Bloomberg throwing his hat into the ring for the 2020 Democratic nomination, many have speculated as to how Bloomberg would divest his equity stake in his namesake firm were he to win the Presidency. We don't expect Mr. Bloomberg to win the Office of the President nor would a sale necessarily be required … Continue reading Prospective Bloomberg LP Acquirers
FTC slaps Facebook on the wrist and levies $5B fine. Combining legacy Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp. A grand product strategy or slick tactical move to avert regulators? Facebook only found religion as it relates to user privacy after the FTC threatened to break up the company into three separate entities - 1) legacy Facebook, 2) … Continue reading Checkmate. Facebook Wins.