Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Our view is that the pace of Technology M&A will slow dramatically in 2022 as bond yields rise. As we wrote recently, the forthcoming Fed interest rate hikes will not be sufficient to curb inflation, but these modest, incremental increases in the Fed Funds Rate over the course of 2022 and 2023 will lead to … Continue reading M&A In 2022: We Have A Different Take
Corporate customers ought to think about diversifying beyond AWS, Azure and Google Cloud for cloud storage and embedded capabilities such as AI/ML/NLP and more. Sure, there is Oracle, Alibaba and others. Yet it would seem now may be the time for Industry-focused players to offer cloud services alternatives. Tickers mentioned: AMZN, BABA, FIS, GOOG, MSFT, … Continue reading AWS, Azure & Google Cloud Alternatives
We have yet to reach "peak inflation" despite a heavily-massaged CPI Too much debt outstanding to sufficiently raise the Fed Funds Rate to curb inflation. The Effective Fed Funds Rate peaked at 19.1% in June 1981 to combat inflation which peaked in April 1980 as measured by 14.6% year-over-year CPI growth. Total Public Debt was … Continue reading Peak Inflation Not In Sight
Today we announce the winner of the "Information Services" category: Information Services: Doug Peterson, President and CEO, S&P Global Inc. (ticker: SPGI). SPGI shares have performed well but the primary reason why we choose SPGI CEO Doug Peterson over Gartner (ticker: IT), CEO Gene Hall or MSCI (ticker: MSCI), CEO Henry Fernandez was Peterson's pursuit … Continue reading CEORater 2021 Technology CEOs of the Year. Part 3 of 3: Information Services
We have taken a different approach to our CEORater Technology CEOs of the Year selection process in 2021. No longer do we call out “Payments” as a separate category given that some of the largest payments flow occurs inside of Technology giants such as Apple and Amazon. We now have three categories: 1.) FinTech; 2.) … Continue reading CEORater 2021 Technology CEOs of the Year. Part 2 of 3: Platform Companies
Three or four quarter point rate increases in 2022 won't be nearly enough to curb inflation. The Fed does not have the luxury of taking interest rates anywhere near the Volcker-era Fed. Thus, inflation is likley to persist for an extended period of time measured in years not months. Further, we do not believe that … Continue reading Too Little Too Late
We have taken a different approach to our CEORater Technology CEOs of the Year selection process in 2021. No longer do we call out “Payments” as a separate category given that some of the largest payments flow occurs inside of Technology giants such as Apple and Amazon. We now have three categories: 1.) FinTech; 2.) … Continue reading CEORater 2021 Technology CEOs of the Year. Part 1 of 3: FinTech
Share buybacks are back above pre-COVID levels. Frequent readers of these pages know that we are generally not in favor of share buybacks. Buyback activity has exploded since 2009 when the Fed began its low interest rate and QE monetary policy to artificially prop up equity and credit markets during the financial crisis. Public companies … Continue reading Share Buybacks Accelerate
Low multiple, cash flow-rich Technology names such as IBM (tkr: IBM), Oracle (tkr: ORCL) and SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC) are well positioned for an Equity Market that will likley prove bumpy in 2022 as the Fed tightens. We expect CPI figures in the 5-6% range throughout 2022 and 4-5% in 2023 as a result of … Continue reading Low Multiple, Cash Flow-Rich Technology Names Are Safest Bet In Inflation Age
CEORater began an experiment several years ago whereby we built a concentrated “buy and hold” equal-weight portfolio consisting of quality Enterprise Software names that would be held for a minimum of five years. The benchmark is the S&P North American Expanded Technology Software Index (SPNASEUP). CEORater is closing the gap, up 8.3% Year-to-Date vs. 10.3% … Continue reading CEORater Portfolio Closing The Gap
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