Category: Education

Prices Up, Personal Consumption Down

Prices Up, Personal Consumption Down

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta estimates Real GDP for Q3 at 1.4%. That is likely an optimistic outlook and 1% growth is certainly nothing to write home about. Get used to it however as Real GDP in the -1% to 1% range is likely our future for the next decade or two given elevated … Continue reading Prices Up, Personal Consumption Down

Independence Day Edition

Independence Day Edition

To celebrate Independence Day we give you Milton Friedman's 10-part "Free To Choose" video series. Free To Choose – Vol. 01: “The Power of the Market” https://youtu.be/dngqR9gcDDw Free To Choose – Vol. 02: “The Tyranny of Control” https://youtu.be/CWgNe8v6KFc Free To Choose – Vol. 03: “Anatomy of Crisis” https://youtu.be/fKz6KrMGj3I Free To Choose – Vol. 04: “From Cradle to Grave.” https://youtu.be/ysf-5MdWDt0Continue reading Independence Day Edition

Blockchain and Cybersecurity

Blockchain and Cybersecurity

Our recent Blockchain article touched on the superior digital security offered by Blockchain/ Distributed Ledger Technologies ("DLT"). Over time we anticipate that legacy payment systems, workflow software and general transaction processing systems will be replaced by dedicated blockchain/ DLT networks. The Internet in its present form is riddled with cybersecurity risks. The current crop of … Continue reading Blockchain and Cybersecurity

Fewer People Are Productive Today As Compared To The 2008 Financial Crisis

Fewer People Are Productive Today As Compared To The 2008 Financial Crisis

The fact is that the U.S. economy was more productive from a Labor Force Participation Rate perspective during the Financial Crisis as compared to where it stands today. The Labor Force Participation Rate stood at 66.0% in October 2008 and steadily declined until January 2020 when the Labor Force Participation Rate stood at 63.4%. The … Continue reading Fewer People Are Productive Today As Compared To The 2008 Financial Crisis

China Is Not Bullish On The U.S. Economy

China Is Not Bullish On The U.S. Economy

Mainland China is not bullish on the U.S. Economy. China's U.S. Treasury holdings have generally declined since 2013 from a peak of approximately $1.32 Trillion (Nov-2013) to $1.07 Trillion as of Jul-2020. Charts and graphs are at the article's end Both the U.S. and China have interventionist fiscal and monetary policy. The difference is that … Continue reading China Is Not Bullish On The U.S. Economy

Technology, Healthcare and Structural Unemployment

Technology, Healthcare and Structural Unemployment

The employment statistic that has concerned us most over the past number of years is the labor force participation rate which stood at only 61.7% as of last week's Employment Situation Summary. Our view is that the labor participation rate will only shrink over time as the global economy continues to become more Technology and … Continue reading Technology, Healthcare and Structural Unemployment

Dovish Fed Policy Speaks to A Weak Economy and Permanent Job Dislocation. We Propose A Solution.

Dovish Fed Policy Speaks to A Weak Economy and Permanent Job Dislocation. We Propose A Solution.

Fed Chair Powell's comments on Thursday were in-line with our perspective published on Wednesday. The Fed will continue to work to "stimulate" the economy (it can't of course, it can only inflate asset prices). However, every time Chairman Powell mentioned "full employment" in his speech I couldn't help but think of the job dislocation that's … Continue reading Dovish Fed Policy Speaks to A Weak Economy and Permanent Job Dislocation. We Propose A Solution.

COVID-19: $60-100 Billion In Lost Wages

COVID-19: $60-100 Billion In Lost Wages

We compare COVID-19 to influenza and estimate that the U.S. economy could suffer $60-100 billion in lost wages due to COVID-19. We used the CDC's data for the 2018-2019 flu season as a proxy to calculate our COVID-19 estimates. (see our PDF report HERE. Request Excel file at jmaietta@TEK2day.com).We focused our efforts on the 18-49 … Continue reading COVID-19: $60-100 Billion In Lost Wages

Personality Analytics: Technology CEOs Analyzed: Part Deux

Personality Analytics: Technology CEOs Analyzed: Part Deux

Some have asked the question regarding our most recent article: Personality Analytics: Technology CEOs Analyzed - "what does it mean?" Let's contemplate one example as depicted in the enclosed picture which plots the 56 Mid-Cap Software CEOs we reviewed against the personality trait "Openness". The output is that the two CEOs who scored in the … Continue reading Personality Analytics: Technology CEOs Analyzed: Part Deux