Operating at the Intersection of Technology and the Capital Markets
Category: Software
We played with Google's conversational AI platform - Bard. Generally speaking, Bard's responses were fast and accurate, albeit high-level. Bard exceeded my expectations on the accuracy front. Speed was never an issue from my perspective. We posed a question to Google's Bard. The AI's response (below), did a fine job of covering the high level … Continue reading We Used Google’s Conversational AI Platform – Bard
MSCI (ticker MSCI), and other FinTech vendors have got the "Governance" component of ESG all wrong. Good governance has nothing to do with identity politics and everything to do with ensuring that companies have highly qualified leadership in place at the Operating and Board levels. For example, MSCI's Governance scoring system (table below), captures zero … Continue reading Corporate Governance Is Everything
Given that Tech layoffs have ramped higher each quarter since Q3 2021, I don't see how Tech is an investor safe haven. Q1 2023 is the worst quarter yet in terms of the number of employees laid off and it could get far worse from here as this credit crisis will be more severe than … Continue reading Tech Is No Safe Haven
Natural Gas is historically cheap. Demand is not going to zero. Therefore, it makes sense to consider owning some in your portfolio. You run the risk that Natural Gas prices may go sideways for a while. However, there is certainly more upside reward than downside risk. I can't say the same for equities, even for … Continue reading Natural Gas Is Historically Cheap
I don't see the Fed taking a pause regarding further hiking of its Fed Funds rate. Heck, banks can borrow at 4.71% from the BTFP, which is a discount to the Discount Window. A 25 BPS hike is likely in the cards. As we wrote recently, the Fed must fight inflation. Commercial banks will help … Continue reading I Don’t See The Fed Pausing Wednesday
All banks have got to be tightening access to credit despite the Fed's bail out and despite the SNB's bail out. What group does tightening credit hurt most? Private Equity firms. During the COVID trough we kept hearing how Private Equity firms would not feel the pain as they had access to approximately $1 Trillion … Continue reading Private Equity & A Fed Pivot
Back in March 2019 we wrote about the future use of NLP-powered applications across various industries - in particular Financial Services (our 2019 TEK2day article HERE). Microsoft (MSFT) is bringing natural language capability to its Productivity suite - Microsoft 365. This natural language offering has a name: "Copilot". We include an example of Copilot deployed … Continue reading NLP & Productivity Apps: Microsoft Copilot
Investors have historically moved to Gold in times of uncertainty. Gold has moved substantially higher since the market turmoil in the banking sector kicked off last week. Here's why investors should be interested in Gold: perpetual money printing by the Fed, ever larger fiscal deficits and a mounting debt load - the combination of which … Continue reading Gold Safer Than Software
The Fed modestly decreased its Treasury and mortgage-backed holdings during the week-ended Wednesday March 15th. Thus, the Fed simultaneously ran QT with QE running in the background in the form of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP). You may read about the BTFP's first week in operation by clicking HERE. Treasuries: The Fed’s Treasury security holdings … Continue reading The Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction (QT) Update Premium
Adobe's business will slow in our view as Technology companies, Media companies and companies in general reduce headcount, thereby negatively impacting ADBE's existing customer base as well as Adobe's ability to generate new subscription revenue (ARR). Our sense is that the U.S. economy softened in 2H February and month-to-date March. The key metric to watch … Continue reading Adobe – Biz Slowing?Premium
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