Many companies took steps to protect earnings during the 2008 financial crisis (see our recent Battle-Tested Software CEOs article). We expect companies who lived through that period to exercise their muscle memory to a similar effect during this COVID crisis - GE Aviation did so today. We covered that and more on a recent edition … Continue reading Companies Will Protect Earnings
Time for VC's to write down their portfolios. The same holds true for Private Equity portfolios. We led with VC's in the title because venture-backed valuations bear little resemblance to any economic reality whereas private equity valuations are largely grounded in reality. Public company valuations are not going to snap back to normal. The U.S. … Continue reading Public Service Message to VC’s: Time to Write Down Your Portfolios
We created a list of Software CEOs that operate durable businesses and that successfully led their companies through the 2008 downturn (the closest comp to COVID-19). CEO profiles from our CEORater database. Andy Florance. Founder & CEO of CoStar Group (tkr: CSGP).Bill Stone. Founder & CEO of SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC).Henry Fernandez. Founder & CEO … Continue reading Battle-Tested Software CEOs
Today's bloodletting is the result of a spate of negative news over the weekend concerning escalating COVID-19 cases, restaurant closures, limits on large groups, school closures, dramatic action by the Fed and more. There is yet another wave of bad news looming that is likely to arrive in the next couple of weeks. The next … Continue reading More Room For Markets To Drift Down. Software As A Safe Haven.
Here is how revenue was impacted for a number of well known FinTech companies during the Great Recession of 2008-2010. Reach us at firstname.lastname@example.org for access to the Excel file. click to expand or download table
We have seen this movie before. The economy is slowing. This Coronavirus-led slowdown feels much like 2003's SARS outbreak exacerbated by the social media echo chamber. When entering an economic slowdown investors would be wise to understand the level of exposure that portfolio holdings have to discretionary revenue. In Software & Services land this primarily … Continue reading History Repeats Itself and Often Rhymes
Facebook is using AI to turn 2D photos into 3D photos. Fun for consumers. The question is to what degree can Facebook's convolutional neural net-powered technology be used to disrupt legacy geospatial/GIS offerings from companies such as Verisk (tkr: VRSK), ESRI (private), Trimble (tkr: TRMB), Garmin (tkr: GRMN), Pitney Bowes (tkr: PBI) and many others? … Continue reading Facebook Is Using AI to Turn 2D Photos into 3D Images
AI is a war of attrition. Last year we crowned Google the "AI King." Google Assistant is the best of the AI-powered assistants in our view and Microsoft's Cortana was never a serious competitor. Last week Microsoft announced that the updated version of Cortana for Windows 10 will focus on Microsoft's productivity applications and that … Continue reading Microsoft Cortana. No Longer A Player In The Home.
The Coronavirus has wreaked havoc on the markets. Valuations have come in across the board making things interesting. Here is a screen from our CEORater database. Click HERE for our summary valuation table. Apple (tkr: AAPL), Facebook (tkr: FB) and SS&C Technologies (tkr: SSNC) each trade below 20x EV/LTM Operating Cash Flow. Click any table … Continue reading With Turmoil Comes Opportunity
Amazon announced that it has opened its first full grocery store - "Amazon Go Grocery" - that utilizes its cashierless checkout technology. Most interesting to us is that Amazon plans to license its "Go" technology to other retailers - effectively creating an Operating System for physical retail. Amazon opened its first Go Grocery store location … Continue reading Amazon’s “Go” Technology – Retail’s New OS