We spent much of last week collecting e-commerce and payments-related data. That long-form TEK2day report is on the back burner for now. In the interim we share our general thoughts on e-commerce and one retail giant in particular. The retail space is having difficulty overcoming COVID having suffered record bankruptcies. Brooks Brothers is the latest … Continue reading E-Commerce Is Fluid and Walmart Appears Undervalued
Regardless of who wins November's general election we expect higher corporate income tax rates in 2021 or more likely 2022. Today's 21% U.S. corporate tax rate will likely climb back to 35% or higher should Trump win re-election or to 40-45% should Biden win the Presidency. We expect companies to control expenses as a result … Continue reading Higher Corporate Income Tax Rates and Advanced Automation Are Coming
Here is the full Excel workbook disclosure compiled by the Federal Reserve which lists the various issuers, sectors, cusips, coupons, maturity dates, par values, amortized costs and more for the fixed income securities the Federal Reserve has purchased. Among the securities purchased through June 16th, 48.1% were "AAA, AA and A" rated, 48.3% were "BBB" … Continue reading Federal Reserve Discloses Corporate Bond Purchases
I traded text messages with a friend who is contemplating a Chief Investment Officer role with a large RIA firm. Increasingly it seems Portfolio Managers who spent much of their career working for large, long-only investment managers are looking for a change to where they can operate with more flexibility and creativity. The RIA/Private Client/Trust … Continue reading Long-Term Bullish On RIA/Private Client/Trust Investment Services
When compared to Netflix and Disney+, Amazon Prime is the most durable revenue stream of the three. We cover Prime's attributes and where we believe leverage points exist, including Amazon's strategic investment in "COVID-proofing" its distribution and customer-facing operations. There could be an AWS-like opportunity if Amazon decides to commercialize its COVID response. Part I … Continue reading Pt. I: Amazon Prime vs. Netflix & Disney+. Pt. II: Is Amazon Sitting On AWS 2.0?
Sellside analysts have too much time on their hands. There is zero logic as to why Apple should acquire a search engine. If Apple (tkr: AAPL), were to acquire a search engine it would have a difficult time taking market share from Google (tkr: GOOG). It is more likely that an Apple-owned search engine would … Continue reading Apple Is Not Going to Acquire A Search Engine
Our CEORater portfolio of quality Technology names is up significantly year-to-date versus the benchmark. Recall the CEORater mock portfolio is a concentrated, equal-weight portfolio of quality Technology companies that employs a "buy and hold" strategy over the long-term. The CEORater portfolio is up 647 basis points versus the benchmark (S&P NORTH AMERICAN EXPANDED TECHNOLOGY SOFTWARE … Continue reading The CEORater “Quality” Portfolio
The Fed's behavior in recent months has been something out of a horror movie. The low interest rate, expansionary monetary policies introduced by former Fed Chair Bernanke and continued by former Fed Chair Yellen have dramatically accelerated under current Fed Chair Powell. Bernanke dealt in $Billions, Chairman Powell prefers $Trillions. Click any of the charts … Continue reading The Forever Bubble-Blowing Fed
Broadly-defined Financial Services and Healthcare are two giant, slow growth industries that could potentially kick start revenue growth by leveraging a variety of video and audio-based technologies. Financial Services & Insurance contributed $1.2 Trillion to GDP in Q1 2020 and Healthcare contributed $2.4 Trillion during the same period (table 1). Both industries are bogged down … Continue reading Financial Services & Healthcare – Sleeping Giants Ready to Awake?
Technology companies with healthy balance sheets should accelerate Product Development efforts. The COVID crisis does not have to entirely be about protecting operating income. Many technology companies threw out guidance during the March quarter. Therefore why be overly sensitive about protecting operating income and earnings? Why not accelerate Product Development efforts if doing so will … Continue reading Now Is The Time To Be Aggressive